Wes Anderson partner

AEW Fantasy Booking

2020.10.24 20:24 AEWSmartMark AEW Fantasy Booking

Before AEW Multiverse: Fight for the Fallen goes live on our official You Tube Channel later I want to drop a Season 2 recap to catch everyone up on the storylines here. All the action detailed below can be found on the channel as well, plus other great content.
For also help you decide which ONE wrestler you want to to take in the upcoming Season 3 draft next week. There will be a separate post about the draft soon on our official Facebook Page. Join on the FB page if you want in the draft for season 3 or just have questions about how the Multiverse work. Or comment below.
Season 2 Recap: Road to Fight for the Fallen:
Dark Week One:
Wins over Local Enhancement Talent by debuting Warhorse, SCU in 6 man action, Awesome Kong, debuting Will Hobbs, Jake Hager, Woman's champ Hikaru Shida, Uno & Grayson in tag team action.
Wardlow w/ MJF d. Colt Cabana after the match Wardlow & MJF beatdown Colt Cabana but Ricky Starks debuted to make the save. MJF & Wardlow retreated.
Deadly Draw Opening round match: Priscilla Kelly & Riho d. Nyla Rose & Tay Conti When Riho made Tay tap to a dragon sleeper. After the match Nyla Beast Bombed Tay at ringside.
Promo: Gladiator-esque style announces The Pantheon is coming
Deadly Match Tournament 1st Round Match: Leva Bates & Kris Statlander d. Emi Sakura & Aka Kong when Leva gets the upset pin on Emi Sakura. Backstage we see Sonny Kiss enter a locker room looking defeated and a quiet but distinct "Excuse me" is heard.
Dark Main event: Jungle Boy d PAC in an amazing back and forth match and afterwards Pac swears this isn't over.
Dynamite Week 1Opens with Taz the manager of newly crowner world champ Brian Cage coming out carrying the FTW title. He announces that watching Cage destroy Moxley for the AEW World title inspired him to want to choke people out and suplex them again. Taz is coming out of retirement to join AEW as the new FTW champion.
Lance Archer w/ Jake Roberts d Christopher Daniels w/Frankie Kazarian & Scorpio Sky. SCU tries a triple team top rope powerbomb but nothing can stop Lance Archer.
Deadly Draw Tournament 1st round match: Abadon & Solo Darling d Rosemary Mel when Solo makes Mel tap out. Another Pantheon Promo
Deadly Draw Tournament 1st round match: Reba & Britt Baker vs Penelope Ford & Bea Priestly. Reba & Britt argue from the start of the match. Eventually Reba get in the ring and attacks her partner Britt Baker, screaming "My name is Rebel!" The match becomes a 2 on 1 that Penelope and Bea win when Bea pins Britt Baker.
Will Hobbs V Matt Cardona. Cardona beats Hobbs. A 8 man over the top rope battle royal is announced for FFTF with the winner getting a shot at Taz's FTW title shot at All Out and Cardona is the first entrant. Darby cuts a promo on his Fight for the Fallen opponent TNT champ Shawn Spears.
Chris Jericho, Sammy Guevara & Jake Hager v Best Friends & Orange Cassidy in 6 man action Trent pins Sammy. Backstage the Dark Order beats down Colt Cabana after he refuses to join them. Again Ricky Starks comes to Colt's rescue. Jericho announces his best friend Hager will representing the Inner Circle in the 8 man battle royal and promise to be there for his best friend
Lucha Bros vs Marko Stunt & Luchasaurus. Pentagon pins Stunt
Dash Wilder grabs the mic and verbally bashes Frankie Kazarian for needing to use the ropes to pin him and challenges him to a No Holds Barred match at FFTF.
Main Event: Nick Jackson w/ Matt Jackson v Brandon Cutler w/Arn Anderson. Cutler picks up his FIRST win proving that his heel turn and alliance with fellow turncoat Arn Anderson was the right choice.
Dark Week 2Wins over Local Enhancement Talent by victories by: Mr. Brodie Lee , Grayson & Uno in 6 man action, FTR, AEW Women's Champ Hikaru Shida, Allie, Kazarian , Jungle Boy, Private Party, & Lance Archer
Deadly Draw Tournament 1st round match: Anna Jay & Sadie Gibbs d. Shanna & Cheerleader Melissa
Deadly Draw Tournament 1st Round Match: Teal Piper and Shazza McKenzie d. Christy Jaynes & Nicole Savoy
Brian Pillman Jr. debuts against Luther but Luther picks up the W. Afterwards Mox comes out Paradigms Shifts them both and challenges World champ Brian cage to a rematch at FFTF in a match of Cage's choice.
Ricky Starks w/Colt Cabana debuts against Peter Avalon w/ Leva Bates. An amazing bloody main event that show cases how bad Avalon wants his first win given Cutler finally won the week prior. In the end Starks puts him away to continue his win streak. with this win Starks earns a spot in the FFTF Battle Royal.
Dynamite Week 2: go home show for Fight for the Fallen!
Kazarian opens the show by accepting Dash Wilders challenge for a No Holds Barred match at FFTF & reminds him that Dash used the ropes himself in FTR's first win in AEW Multiverse. He says at FFTF will stand for Frankie The Reborn.
Luchasaurus w/ Jurassic Express d. Rey Fenix w/ Death Triangle via chokeslam and the bad blood between these teams continues.
Deadly Draw Tournament 1st Round Match. Surprise entrant Jazz teams w/ "The Bunny" Allie vs Brandi Rhodes and Big Swole. Allie refuses to ever tag the legend in and ends up getting pinned after a Dirty Dancing from Swole.
Ricky Starks & Colt Cabana d. MJF & Wardlow in tag team action. Afterwards Mr. Brodie Lee announces himself as a entrant in the FFTF and sends Reynolds and Silver of Dark Order come out to attack Colt & Ricky.
Nyla Rose d. Tay Conti and then beats down Priscila Kelly backstage. Kelly wont be able to compete in the Deadly Draw tournament any longer as Riho's partner
Laredo Kid d. Sonny kiss for the final spot in the 8 man Battle Royal at FFTF. Vickie Guerrero watched the match from ringside.
Deadly Draw Tournament round 1: Contract disputes keep Ivelisse from showing up so Diamante has no partner. Until NWA Women's champion Thunderosa debuts Thunder Rosa & volunteers. Thunderosa & Diamante d. Tessa Blanchard & Awesome Kong. Shida pins Kong following the running knee. Riho comes out and announces she has found a replace partner for her FFTF match vs Thunderosa & Diamante. Its AEW Women's Champ Hikaru Shida.
Main Event Tag Match: Jon Moxley and Darby Allin vs World champion Brian Cage and TNT champ Shawn Spears. Moxley pins Brian Cage and fans speculate if the same could happen at FFTF.
Season 2 Season Finale: Fight For the Fallen.
6 man tag match: Jurassic Express v Death triangle
Britt Baker vs Rebel
TNT Title match: Shawn Spears (c) w/ Tully vs Darby Allin
Deadly Draw Quarter Final: Penelope Ford and Bea Priestly versus Brandi Rhodes and Big Swole
Dash Wheeler vs Frankie Kazarian No Holds Barred match
8 man Man Over the top rope Battle Royal Laredo Kid vs Matt Cardona vs Matt Hardy vs Jake Hager vs Warhorse vs Brodie Lee vs Hangman Adam Page vs Ricky Starks with the winner getting a FTW title shot vs Taz at Season 3 PPV ALL OUT
Best Friends(c) v 1 contenders Private Party for the AEW Tag Team Championship
Deadly Draw Quarter Final Match: Riho & AEW Women' s Champion Hikaru Shida vs NWA Women's Champion Thunderosa & Diamante
Jon Moxley v The Machine Brian Cage (c) for the World Title match in a Steel Cage
submitted by AEWSmartMark to fantasybooking [link] [comments]


2020.10.24 01:04 AEWSmartMark Season 2 recap

Before AEW Multiverse: Fight for the Fallen goes live on our official You Tube Channel later I want to drop a Season 2 recap to catch everyone up on the storylines here. All the action detailed below can be found on the channel as well, plus other great content.
For also help you decide which ONE wrestler you want to to take in the upcoming Season 3 draft next week. There will be a separate post about the draft soon on our official Facebook Page. Join on the FB page if you want in the draft for season 3 or just have questions about how the Multiverse work. Or comment below.
Season 2 Recap: Road to Fight for the Fallen:
Dark Week One:
Wins over Local Enhancement Talent by debuting Warhorse, SCU in 6 man action, Awesome Kong, debuting Will Hobbs, Jake Hager, Woman's champ Hikaru Shida, Uno & Grayson in tag team action.
Wardlow w/ MJF d. Colt Cabana after the match Wardlow & MJF beatdown Colt Cabana but Ricky Starks debuted to make the save. MJF & Wardlow retreated.
Deadly Draw Opening round match: Priscilla Kelly & Riho d. Nyla Rose & Tay Conti When Riho made Tay tap to a dragon sleeper. After the match Nyla Beast Bombed Tay at ringside.
Promo: Gladiator-esque style announces The Pantheon is coming
Deadly Match Tournament 1st Round Match: Leva Bates & Kris Statlander d. Emi Sakura & Aka Kong when Leva gets the upset pin on Emi Sakura. Backstage we see Sonny Kiss enter a locker room looking defeated and a quiet but distinct "Excuse me" is heard.
Dark Main event: Jungle Boy d PAC in an amazing back and forth match and afterwards Pac swears this isn't over.
Dynamite Week 1Opens with Taz the manager of newly crowner world champ Brian Cage coming out carrying the FTW title. He announces that watching Cage destroy Moxley for the AEW World title inspired him to want to choke people out and suplex them again. Taz is coming out of retirement to join AEW as the new FTW champion.
Lance Archer w/ Jake Roberts d Christopher Daniels w/Frankie Kazarian & Scorpio Sky. SCU tries a triple team top rope powerbomb but nothing can stop Lance Archer.
Deadly Draw Tournament 1st round match: Abadon & Solo Darling d Rosemary Mel when Solo makes Mel tap out. Another Pantheon Promo
Deadly Draw Tournament 1st round match: Reba & Britt Baker vs Penelope Ford & Bea Priestly. Reba & Britt argue from the start of the match. Eventually Reba get in the ring and attacks her partner Britt Baker, screaming "My name is Rebel!" The match becomes a 2 on 1 that Penelope and Bea win when Bea pins Britt Baker.
Will Hobbs V Matt Cardona. Cardona beats Hobbs. A 8 man over the top rope battle royal is announced for FFTF with the winner getting a shot at Taz's FTW title shot at All Out and Cardona is the first entrant. Darby cuts a promo on his Fight for the Fallen opponent TNT champ Shawn Spears.
Chris Jericho, Sammy Guevara & Jake Hager v Best Friends & Orange Cassidy in 6 man action Trent pins Sammy. Backstage the Dark Order beats down Colt Cabana after he refuses to join them. Again Ricky Starks comes to Colt's rescue. Jericho announces his best friend Hager will representing the Inner Circle in the 8 man battle royal and promise to be there for his best friend
Lucha Bros vs Marko Stunt & Luchasaurus. Pentagon pins Stunt
Dash Wilder grabs the mic and verbally bashes Frankie Kazarian for needing to use the ropes to pin him and challenges him to a No Holds Barred match at FFTF.
Main Event: Nick Jackson w/ Matt Jackson v Brandon Cutler w/Arn Anderson. Cutler picks up his FIRST win proving that his heel turn and alliance with fellow turncoat Arn Anderson was the right choice.
Dark Week 2Wins over Local Enhancement Talent by victories by: Mr. Brodie Lee , Grayson & Uno in 6 man action, FTR, AEW Women's Champ Hikaru Shida, Allie, Kazarian , Jungle Boy, Private Party, & Lance Archer
Deadly Draw Tournament 1st round match: Anna Jay & Sadie Gibbs d. Shanna & Cheerleader Melissa
Deadly Draw Tournament 1st Round Match: Teal Piper and Shazza McKenzie d. Christy Jaynes & Nicole Savoy
Brian Pillman Jr. debuts against Luther but Luther picks up the W. Afterwards Mox comes out Paradigms Shifts them both and challenges World champ Brian cage to a rematch at FFTF in a match of Cage's choice.
Ricky Starks w/Colt Cabana debuts against Peter Avalon w/ Leva Bates. An amazing bloody main event that show cases how bad Avalon wants his first win given Cutler finally won the week prior. In the end Starks puts him away to continue his win streak. with this win Starks earns a spot in the FFTF Battle Royal.
Dynamite Week 2: go home show for Fight for the Fallen!
Kazarian opens the show by accepting Dash Wilders challenge for a No Holds Barred match at FFTF & reminds him that Dash used the ropes himself in FTR's first win in AEW Multiverse. He says at FFTF will stand for Frankie The Reborn.
Luchasaurus w/ Jurassic Express d. Rey Fenix w/ Death Triangle via chokeslam and the bad blood between these teams continues.
Deadly Draw Tournament 1st Round Match. Surprise entrant Jazz teams w/ "The Bunny" Allie vs Brandi Rhodes and Big Swole. Allie refuses to ever tag the legend in and ends up getting pinned after a Dirty Dancing from Swole.
Ricky Starks & Colt Cabana d. MJF & Wardlow in tag team action. Afterwards Mr. Brodie Lee announces himself as a entrant in the FFTF and sends Reynolds and Silver of Dark Order come out to attack Colt & Ricky.
Nyla Rose d. Tay Conti and then beats down Priscila Kelly backstage. Kelly wont be able to compete in the Deadly Draw tournament any longer as Riho's partner
Laredo Kid d. Sonny kiss for the final spot in the 8 man Battle Royal at FFTF. Vickie Guerrero watched the match from ringside.
Deadly Draw Tournament round 1: Contract disputes keep Ivelisse from showing up so Diamante has no partner. Until NWA Women's champion Thunderosa debuts Thunder Rosa & volunteers. Thunderosa & Diamante d. Tessa Blanchard & Awesome Kong. Shida pins Kong following the running knee. Riho comes out and announces she has found a replace partner for her FFTF match vs Thunderosa & Diamante. Its AEW Women's Champ Hikaru Shida.
Main Event Tag Match: Jon Moxley and Darby Allin vs World champion Brian Cage and TNT champ Shawn Spears. Moxley pins Brian Cage and fans speculate if the same could happen at FFTF.
Season 2 Season Finale: Fight For the Fallen.
6 man tag match: Jurassic Express v Death triangle
Britt Baker vs Rebel
TNT Title match: Shawn Spears (c) w/ Tully vs Darby Allin
Deadly Draw Quarter Final: Penelope Ford and Bea Priestly versus Brandi Rhodes and Big Swole
Dash Wheeler vs Frankie Kazarian No Holds Barred match
8 man Man Over the top rope Battle Royal Laredo Kid vs Matt Cardona vs Matt Hardy vs Jake Hager vs Warhorse vs Brodie Lee vs Hangman Adam Page vs Ricky Starks with the winner getting a FTW title shot vs Taz at Season 3 PPV ALL OUT
Best Friends(c) v 1 contenders Private Party for the AEW Tag Team Championship
Deadly Draw Quarter Final Match: Riho & AEW Women' s Champion Hikaru Shida vs NWA Women's Champion Thunderosa & Diamante
Jon Moxley v The Machine Brian Cage (c) for the World Title match in a Steel Cage
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2020.10.23 21:08 MavAndCaes Not sure what to do with myself now.

So, I just completed my second play through of the trilogy and I’m feeling very strange. Not sure exactly how to describe it. Almost feel a little depressed or empty and I don’t know what to do now.
First time I played through was years ago pretty shortly after me3 came out. That go around I didn’t really take my time, I rushed through the games, I didn’t get any of the DLC, and didn’t really take advantage of the great RPG that the trilogy can be. I romanced different characters in each game, I was roughly 50/50 on paragon/renegade choices(made very random choices on the fly) and did not really get absorbed into the incredible universe that was presented before me. I still enjoyed the games overall but was left feeling very frustrated with the ending of me3 (chose synthesis and didn’t really feel great about the choice), like most of us were.
Fast-forward 7ish years and I had mostly forgotten about the games. I’m working at a job that I really hate and found myself looking around on the Xbox market place for a new game to dive into so that I can decompress after miserable days at work. I came across the ME trilogy and I was intrigued. I remembered most of the big moments of the series but the smaller, intricate details that make the ME universe so amazing had left my mind. I decided to download the first ME and give it a second chance.
I wanted to really take everything in this go-around and truly immerse myself in the universe. I made my own male Shep and tried my best to give him similar characteristics to myself (same eye/haihair-style/skin color). As the game progressed, I took the time to read each individual codex entry as they came, speak to every character I could talk to, and most importantly, I tried to make decisions in a way that I personally would have if I had been in Shep’s shoes (90-95% paragon with the occasional renegade option that was too good to pass up). I was really enjoying the immersive nature of the game and was excited to gain each new teammate but I truly became invested once Liara made her entrance. I had become very interested in the Asari as a species (since I was reading and learning more about them) but at that point, I was not considering any alien species as a RI (was thinking about Miranda later on because of those assets). However, when I first heard Liara’s voice and saw those adorable blue freckles, that changed. I felt an instant connection to her character that I hadn’t felt in my first play through. I loved the idea of Shepard rescuing the shy, innocent, intelligent, and helpless damsel in distress. From those first interactions at the Prothean dig site to her embarrassingly admitting that she cyberstalked Shepard’s past, Liara became the obvious romantic choice for my new Shep. I jumped on the opportunity to pursue her as a RI as soon as it was available and made sure she accompanied me on every mission thereafter so I wouldn’t miss any of her dialogue. I appreciated the innocent nature of their blossoming relationship but I was thrilled when Liara approached Shepard before the final battle with Saren and said she wanted to spend the night. That really solidified their relationship in my eyes and made it feel real. The two of them plus Wrex went on to defeat Saren and save the Citadel from Sovereign. While I felt the combat could have been better, I thoroughly enjoyed the total experience of the first game and I felt very immersed in the ME universe.
I began downloading ME2 as soon as I finished the first game. I loved the way the game started. Shepard ordering Liara to get on the escape pod to ensure her safety, then sacrificing himself to save Joker. It was such a paragon thing to do and it was perfectly in line with the Shep I had created in the first game. I loved the new and improved combat system and all of the new codex entries. I loved the mix of old and new squadmates (Jacob was ok I guess, Miranda was nice to look at, Mordin, Jack, Samara, Thane, Legion, and Grunt were all awesome, glad Garrus and Tali were with me still, missed Wrex). The only real disappointment I had with the game was when I realized Liara wouldn’t be joining the squad again. She was Shep’s partner and I brought her with me on every mission I could in the first game so it didn’t feel right leaving her on Ilium after everything they had been through. I appreciated that the game acknowledged their RI from the first game when they first saw each other again but after that scene she never really showed the RI that I was hoping for (a lot can change in 2 years I suppose). I was able to get the Shadow Broker DLC which was very enjoyable and helped some. That allowed Shep to stay loyal to her and at least continue their romance but it still would have been better to have her along for everything. Outside of that, I really did love the ME2 gameplay. It was cool getting to experience every character’s different loyalty missions and that allowed me to feel like I got to know each character on a deeper level. I made sure to complete all of their missions before attacking the collector base. I was able to keep everyone from the Normandy alive and gave the Illusive Man a big middle finger on my way out when I blew up the human reaper.
I was almost hesitant to start me3. Starting it would mean that this epic story is not only going to have to end, but it’s going to end in a unsatisfying way. By this point, I had been playing anywhere from 1-5 hours a day for the last month or so. I was extremely invested in Shepard, Liara, the rest of my crew, and the rest of the universe. The ME universe had been my escape from my terrible job every evening and it had been the bright spot in each day for me. I knew that I couldn’t leave the story unfinished though, so I downloaded me3 and most of the DLC (Leviathin, Omega, extended cut, Citadel) and I got started. I wanted to get every second I could of out of the experience. The overall feel of me3 was a little different than the previous two imo. The game really did a great job of giving the player a sense of unavoidable doom, and it started from the beginning on Earth. Left the planet feeling very helpless but once we were heading to Mars I started to feel better because I knew Liara was there. I was so relieved to get her back as a squadmate, not only for the obvious RI, but for her biotic powers as well. I do wish the game had been a little more direct and obvious with the two character’s love, seeing as my Shep had been romantically involved with her and only her from the beginning. Felt a little frustrated when she continued to give him the option to just be friends when we were talking about marrying and having little blue babies just last game. Once I did lock in the RI on the citadel though, I was happier with their interactions and dialogue, especially on the citadel DLC. That DLC was probably the most rewarding part of the entire series for me with all of the characters. I saved it until right before the attack on the Cerberus base so I could have as many people there as possible. It was so fun getting to listen to everyone’s interactions throughout the party and it really solidified the feeling of this group being Shepard’s family. I saved a picture of the party pic so that I may look back on it from time-to-time. Once the party was finished, and I had gathered enough War Assets to unlock all the possible endings, I knew I had to take the leap past the point of no-return. Shep had one last epic night with Liara and I was almost sad afterwards, because I knew this would be their last moment like that in the game. Shep, Liara, and EDI went on to take down Kai Leng at the base (that renegade moment on Kai Leng was super satisfying) and then it was off to London for the final mission. I made sure to go talk to every person on the Normandy one last time before getting started and I teared up a little talking to a few of them. I decided to have Garrus join Shepard and Liara for the last mission, because Garrus was usually my other teammate and he seemed to be Shep’s best friend in the universe. Moving through London to the reaper beam was epic and challenging. We made it to the downhill sprint towards the beam and that’s when the sadness really set in for me. Liara and Garrus were both injured and I had to say my goodbyes. That final moment with Liara was bittersweet. I honestly cried when she said she was his. The look in her eyes was so sad and I knew that was the last time they would be together on screen. I had to wipe the tears away and move on though. I proceeded into the beam and made my way to the control panel on the citadel. Getting to shoot the Illusive Man was great, and I really appreciated the almost fatheson moment between Anderson and Shepard before Anderson passed. The last thing I had to do was the thing I had been dreading since restarting the first game, and that was make a decision on how to end it all. I listened to the little boy catalyst explain every option and ultimately, I decided to go with the Destroy ending. Every other ending felt like I would be going against everything Shepard had been working towards throughout the entire trilogy and all of those sacrifices wouldn’t have been worth it. Control was what the Illusive Man wanted, and he was a piece of shit. Synthesis was what Saren wanted, and I don’t think Shepard could make that decision on behalf of every other living being. I knew Destroy would take out the Geth and EDI, but I thought that if EDI and Legion had been up there with Shepard, they would have wanted him to destroy the reapers once and for all, no matter the consequences. Plus, I felt that EDI and the other synthetic beings/devices could eventually be rebuilt and that life could almost return to normal for the survivors. So I shot up the crucible and watched what unfolded.
While I did feel much better about this decision than I did on my first play through, I was still left feeling empty once everything had finished. I got to see Shep take a breath at the end which gave me hope that he could continue his life with Liara and his friends. However, I didn’t get to actually see that happen, and that left me feeling depressed. I felt the need to see Shep, Liara, and their little blue babies. I wanted to see Garrus and Tali get together. I wanted that classic Hollywood ending. How hard would it have been for Bioware to give us that? I don’t think every play through should end like that but I put in the work, made the right decisions, and I felt I deserved it. I had spent so many hours with these characters and this universe, and now it was just over with very little closure. I turned off my Xbox and just sat there for a while, feeling empty inside and wondering what I should do now. I thought about replaying the series as a different type of Shep and making different types of decisions, but I was so emotionally invested in this last play-through that I don’t think I would enjoy the experience of a different one near as much. In my mind, the decisions I made for my Shep this time were the only decisions that could be made.
I’m not really sure what I hoped to accomplish by typing all this out. Maybe it’s therapeutic for me to get all of my feelings out and it will help me move on from the emotional attachment that I had to these characters and this universe. Hopefully in a few days/weeks I’ll look back and be able to appreciate the experience as a whole, and I won’t be left feeling so empty with how it all ended. I will say that since starting the series, I put in my notice that I’m leaving my terrible job and moving on to one that I think will make me much happier. Thanks for reading my rambling if you took the time to do it, and if you have any similar feelings or even different feelings, I’d love to discuss them with you.
I should go now.
submitted by MavAndCaes to masseffect [link] [comments]


2020.10.23 16:18 Falconerelectronics US Manufacturers Digitizing at Twice the Rate of Other Businesses

Alibaba.com, the B2B business unit of Alibaba Group, announced the results of its Alibaba.com U.S. B2B Small and Medium Business (SMB) Survey and launched a new Digitization Sprint for U.S. SMB manufacturers digitizing – a traditionally analog segment of SMBs that has been digitizing at twice the rate of other industries during the pandemic.
Following its inaugural survey, which was disseminated in January 2020, Alibaba.com conducted a second survey of 5,015 U.S. B2B SMBs with the following key findings:

“We were happy to see the increasing digitization of US B2B companies and that many are increasing trade despite the pandemic, showing the resilience and grit of American business owners and entrepreneurs,” said John Caplan, President of North America and Europe of Alibaba.com. “Our research finds that digitization is no longer a nice-to-have, but a must-have for companies in every industry to bridge from surviving to thriving in the next era of business.”

Additional Highlights from the Alibaba.com U.S. B2B SMB Survey

SMBs are Optimistic in Their Business and Recovery

Even More U.S. B2B SMBs Digitized During the Pandemic and Are Hiring to Support their Online Growth

Digital Acceleration is Driving Global Business


SMB Manufacturers are Confident and Accelerating to Catch Up Digitally

The Alibaba.com U.S. Small and Medium Business (SMB) Survey: Research Methodology
Alibaba.com commissioned leading global research firm, Ipsos, to conduct the second Alibaba.com U.S. B2B Small and Medium Business (SMB) Survey on behalf of Alibaba.com as a follow up to the December 2019 survey. The sample of 5,015 was collected using a double opt in online panel sample and conducted anonymously from September 4 - 20, 2020. The survey targeted decision-makers at U.S. companies that buy or sell physical goods and materials with other businesses. The study has an overall margin of error of ±1.39% at the 95% confidence level.
Additional data, analysis and insights from the second Alibaba.com U.S. SMB B2B Survey will be shared in future B2B Today content and events.

Alibaba.com’s Digitization Sprint for U.S. Manufacturers

According to IBISWorld, there are 565,537 manufacturing businesses in the U.S. According to SCORE, an organization focused on mentoring U.S. small businesses, 98.6% of American manufacturing companies are small businesses, and three-quarters (75.3%) of those businesses have fewer than 20 employees.
U.S. manufacturers are well known for their technologically advanced production capabilities. However, until recently, they have been slower than other industries to adopt online sourcing and selling tools according to Alibaba.com’s survey. With manufacturers now rapidly turning to digital channels, Alibaba.com is launching its Digitization Sprint for U.S. Manufacturers. With the tagline “Let’s Get Digital,” the program accelerates the digitization of these businesses’ online marketing, selling and sourcing and ensure their long-term success. Alibaba offers this program to qualified manufacturers at no cost. The Alibaba.com team is bringing together experts and their ecosystem of collaborators, including the Brooklyn Chamber of Commerce, Brooklyn Navy Yard and manufacturing e-commerce expert Curt Anderson, to give manufacturers digitizing a four-week masterclass in getting digital and going global.

Manufacturers Digitizing

“We were delighted to see in our research that manufacturing businesses are catching on and looking for ways to ride new waves of digital opportunity,” said Caplan. “U.S. manufacturers have huge potential to grow their online business and emerge from this pandemic better positioned for the future. Our first-ever Digitization Sprint will give manufacturers the curriculum, coaching, and community they need to accelerate their digital skills and access the $23.9 trillion global B2B ecommerce opportunity.”
Through the program, select manufacturing companies will gain access to:

The inaugural Alibaba.com Digitization Sprint for U.S. Manufacturers will kick off in mid-November with limited spots available. Interested leaders at manufacturing companies with fewer than 500 employees can apply for their companies to join the initiative at alibaba.com/digitalsprint.
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2020.10.21 09:10 qwertelis Proof Natalie Tenerelli is a very strong Survivor player and was a great player on Redemption Island

Natalies are an elite group on Survivor - Anderson and White both won a season, Bolton is on a lot of people's most wanted returnees list, and obviously Winners at War just happened so the discourse about the Natalie's has seen no end.
And yet, one Natalie seems to miss out on all of it. Natalie Tenerelli is absolutely never talked about, for what some see as foregone reasons - she was universally chided by uninformed people as the most useless player in Survivor history, has been the subject of almost vitriolic hate since her time on the show, and generally has not gotten any praise at all in any corner of the internet.
Let's look more closely at the criticism of her, then - that she was a follower of Rob, a narrative tied to her naivete and inaction throughout the game. Natalie gets it, in my opinion, harder than anyone else on the cast. The dislike of Redemption Island follows everyone on that season, but seems to land mostly on Natalie. And yet, Natalie was not merely another sheep led to the slaughter by Rob. She was by far his closest ally and best friend in the game, and her loyalty to him, and his adoration of her, landed her a certain spot in the final three. Despite the grave risks of going to Final 3 with a young lady basically seen as a Natalie White clone, and with probably the best social game on the island, Rob due to the special and intensely close relationship Natalie had navigated with Rob took her anyway, rather than his other allies, all whom he could have beaten much more easily. There's a lot of nuance to the hate Natalie gets in this regard but I think it's kind of important and probably damning for me to mention that the hate DOES stem from misogyny to some degree. I am not arguing that Natalie Tenerelli played the most resoundingly solid game since Pia Miranda, but I absolutely do NOT think that if a nineteen year old man developed a fatheson bond with Rob and followed his lead to the end he would have the relationship called "creepy" and have jurors say his parents should be "ashamed" of him. I actually think he might have stood a good chance at winning, but that's subjective and I don't think the argument is predicated on the outcome.
That ties to another aspect of this situation that I think is critical to acknowledge, which is that Natalie played as a nineteen year old, the youngest player in history at the time and the youngest player to ever make final tribal council. Are we really able to suspend our disbelief and say that Natalie had any shot to take control of the game as a nineteen year-old with way less life experience than anyone else? If she had tried to insert herself into a leadership position, she would have promptly been voted out or just made a fool of - like it or not, goatifying herself by following Rob's lead was probably her only possible way to make a run in the game. And it paid off; only one vote against her the entire season, and a shot at the final tribal council. And she most likely wins the game against anyone from Ometepe except for Rob, and would have also beaten Rob had the jury been at all bitter, or had it not been for the misogyny of the mostly male middle aged jury.
The argument for not making a move against Rob works against Andrea. It works against Grant. It works against Ashley. But for Natalie, who had her ticket punched to the final three from the minute Matt went home, what benefit would it have provided? With how much blood Rob got on his hands burning people along the way, how could Natalie NOT see a possibility for a win sitting next to him?
That said, Natalie did seem to think that her and Rob were more strategic partners than a leader and a follower, judging by her final tribal council answers, and I know that that's a concept which has her laughed out of every corner of gameplay discussion ever to be had. But it's hardly the first time that someone has been arguably unfairly assigned credit for the moves of a duo - look at Sarah and Tony, Stephen and JT, Wendell and Domenick, and on and on and on. Rob has come to Natalie's defense multiple times and said that she played a great game and was an amazing ally.
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2020.10.21 01:46 John_Charles_Fremont /r/neoliberal elects the American Presidents - Part 54, Obama v McCain in 2008

Previous editions:
(All strawpoll results counted as of the next post made)
Part 1, Adams v Jefferson in 1796 - Adams wins with 68% of the vote
Part 2, Adams v Jefferson in 1800 - Jefferson wins with 58% of the vote
Part 3, Jefferson v Pinckney in 1804 - Jefferson wins with 57% of the vote
Part 4, Madison v Pinckney (with George Clinton protest) in 1808 - Pinckney wins with 45% of the vote
Part 5, Madison v (DeWitt) Clinton in 1812 - Clinton wins with 80% of the vote
Part 6, Monroe v King in 1816 - Monroe wins with 51% of the vote
Part 7, Monroe and an Era of Meta Feelings in 1820 - Monroe wins with 100% of the vote
Part 8, Democratic-Republican Thunderdome in 1824 - Adams wins with 55% of the vote
Part 9, Adams v Jackson in 1828 - Adams wins with 94% of the vote
Part 10, Jackson v Clay (v Wirt) in 1832 - Clay wins with 53% of the vote
Part 11, Van Buren v The Whigs in 1836 - Whigs win with 87% of the vote, Webster elected
Part 12, Van Buren v Harrison in 1840 - Harrison wins with 90% of the vote
Part 13, Polk v Clay in 1844 - Polk wins with 59% of the vote
Part 14, Taylor v Cass in 1848 - Taylor wins with 44% of the vote (see special rules)
Part 15, Pierce v Scott in 1852 - Scott wins with 78% of the vote
Part 16, Buchanan v Frémont v Fillmore in 1856 - Frémont wins with 95% of the vote
Part 17, Peculiar Thunderdome in 1860 - Lincoln wins with 90% of the vote.
Part 18, Lincoln v McClellan in 1864 - Lincoln wins with 97% of the vote.
Part 19, Grant v Seymour in 1868 - Grant wins with 97% of the vote.
Part 20, Grant v Greeley in 1872 - Grant wins with 96% of the vote.
Part 21, Hayes v Tilden in 1876 - Hayes wins with 87% of the vote.
Part 22, Garfield v Hancock in 1880 - Garfield wins with 67% of the vote.
Part 23, Cleveland v Blaine in 1884 - Cleveland wins with 53% of the vote.
Part 24, Cleveland v Harrison in 1888 - Harrison wins with 64% of the vote.
Part 25, Cleveland v Harrison v Weaver in 1892 - Harrison wins with 57% of the vote
Part 26, McKinley v Bryan in 1896 - McKinley wins with 71% of the vote
Part 27, McKinley v Bryan in 1900 - Bryan wins with 55% of the vote
Part 28, Roosevelt v Parker in 1904 - Roosevelt wins with 71% of the vote
Part 29, Taft v Bryan in 1908 - Taft wins with 64% of the vote
Part 30, Taft v Wilson v Roosevelt in 1912 - Roosevelt wins with 81% of the vote
Part 31, Wilson v Hughes in 1916 - Hughes wins with 62% of the vote
Part 32, Harding v Cox in 1920 - Cox wins with 68% of the vote
Part 33, Coolidge v Davis v La Follette in 1924 - Davis wins with 47% of the vote
Part 34, Hoover v Smith in 1928 - Hoover wins with 50.2% of the vote
Part 35, Hoover v Roosevelt in 1932 - Roosevelt wins with 85% of the vote
Part 36, Landon v Roosevelt in 1936 - Roosevelt wins with 75% of the vote
Part 37, Willkie v Roosevelt in 1940 - Roosevelt wins with 56% of the vote
Part 38, Dewey v Roosevelt in 1944 - Dewey wins with 50.2% of the vote
Part 39, Dewey v Truman in 1948 - Truman wins with 65% of the vote
Part 40, Eisenhower v Stevenson in 1952 - Eisenhower wins with 69% of the vote
Part 41, Eisenhower v Stevenson in 1956 - Eisenhower wins with 60% of the vote
Part 42, Kennedy v Nixon in 1960 - Kennedy wins with 63% of the vote
Part 43, Johnson v Goldwater in 1964 - Johnson wins with 87% of the vote
Part 44, Nixon v Humphrey in 1968 - Humphrey wins with 60% of the vote
Part 45, Nixon v McGovern in 1972 - Nixon wins with 56% of the vote
Part 46, Carter v Ford in 1976 - Carter wins with 71% of the vote
Part 47 - Carter v Reagan v Anderson in 1980 - Carter wins with 44% of the vote
Part 48, Reagan v Mondale in 1984 - Mondale wins with 55% of the vote
Part 49, Bush v Dukakis in 1988 - Bush wins with 54% of the vote
Part 50, Bush v Clinton v Perot in 1992 - Clinton wins with 71% of the vote
Part 51, Clinton v Dole in 1996 - Clinton wins with 91% of the vote
Part 52, Bush v Gore in 2000 - Gore wins with 88% of the vote
Part 53, Bush v Kerry in 2004 - Kerry wins with 89% of the vote
Welcome back to the fifty-fourth edition of /neoliberal elects the American presidents!
This will be a fairly consistent weekly thing - every week, a new election, until we run out.
I highly encourage you - at least in terms of the vote you cast - to try to think from the perspective of the year the election was held, without knowing the future or how the next administration would go. I'm not going to be trying to enforce that, but feel free to remind fellow commenters of this distinction.
If you're really feeling hardcore, feel free to even speak in the present tense as if the election is truly upcoming!
Whether third and fourth candidates are considered "major" enough to include in the strawpoll will be largely at my discretion and depend on things like whether they were actually intending to run for President, and whether they wound up actually pulling in a meaningful amount of the popular vote and even electoral votes. I may also invoke special rules in how the results will be interpreted in certain elections to better approximate historical reality.
While I will always give some brief background info to spur the discussion, please don't hesitate to bring your own research and knowledge into the mix! There's no way I'll cover everything!
John McCain v Barack Obama, 2008
Profiles
  • John McCain is the 72-year-old Republican candidate and a US Senator from Arizona. His running mate is Governor of Alaska Sarah Palin.
  • Barack Obama is the 47-year-old Democratic candidate and a US Senator from Illinois. His running mate is US Senator from Delaware Joe Biden.
Issues and Background
  • The United States and other countries are in the midst of what many are describing as the worst financial crisis since the Great Depression. The crisis was largely triggered by a collapse in home prices, which in turn caused securities tied directly or indirectly to real estate to plummet in value. In September, major investment bank Lehman Brothers filed for bankruptcy. A day later, the Federal Reserve bailed out and essentially took control of insurance giant AIG. Credit markets were on the brink of meltdown. In early October, Congress passed the Emergency Economic Stabilization Act, which created an enormous government program to purchase "toxic assets" from banks and significantly increased the amount of insurance provided by the FDIC. Both McCain and Obama supported this rescue plan. Liquidity appears to have been restored, but the economic situation is still otherwise dire.
    • Senator Obama has described the current crisis as a "final verdict on eight years of failed economic policies promoted by George Bush, supported by Senator McCain, a theory that basically says that we can shred regulations and consumer protections and give more and more to the most, and somehow prosperity will trickle down." Obama has spoken of the importance of oversight over the TARP $700 billion, of the possibility of getting that money back, of making sure none of that money is going to executive pay or executive severance packages, and of following up the package with help for homeowners.
    • Senator McCain has said that what distinguishes him from Senator Obama on how he will lead the country out of the economic crisis is his commitment to get government spending under control. McCain has proposed a one-year spending freeze on "non-defense, non-veterans discretionary spending." McCain has criticized Senator Obama for supporting "pork-barrel spending" in the past.
  • The US occupation of Iraq continues. Last year, the Bush Administration oversaw a troop surge, and the conventional wisdom is that the situation has generally improved as a result. There are some indications that the security situation is improving and that the training of the new Iraqi military is working. That said, pressure on the US to withdraw has increased, as the Iraqi government has sought a withdrawal timetable and the US coalition partners have begun their own withdraw. Security responsibility for several provinces has already been transferred from US forces to Iraqi forces. However, earlier this year, General David Petraeus called for the delaying of troop withdrawals.
    • Both candidates accuse the other of failures of judgement. Senator Obama has criticized McCain sharply for supporting invading Iraq in the first place, while Senator McCain has criticized Obama for not supporting the 2007 surge. On the latter point, in January 2007 Senator Obama's stance was:
      The need to bring this war to an end is here. That is why today I am introducing the Iraq War De-escalation Act of 2007. This plan would not only place a cap on the number of troops in Iraq and stop the escalation: more importantly, it would begin a phased redeployment of United States forced with the goal of removing all United States combat forces from Iraq by March 31, 2008.
    • Early this year, Democrats seized on a statement from Senator McCain in which he indicated that he would be comfortable with an American presence in Iraq for "maybe 100" years. He has stood by the comments, saying he was referring to a presence comparable to what the US has had in South Korea, Germany, and Japan.
    • Under the Obama plan for Iraq, a phased withdrawal of most troops would begin which would likely remove the US troop presence by summer of 2010. A residual force would remain "to conduct targeted counter-terrorism missions against al Qaeda in Iraq and to protect American diplomatic and civilian personnel."
    • Under the McCain plan for Iraq, the US would not leave Iraq "before Al Qaeda in Iraq is defeated and before a competent, trained, and capable Iraqi security force is in place and operating effectively."
  • Sarah Palin has received a significant amount of both positive and negative attention relative to most VP nominees. Supporters praise her history as a reformer, her advocacy for families with special needs children, and her ability to energize parts of the Republican base. However, critics have raised questions about her knowledge of policy and her readiness to be President if it became necessary. Some in the media have expressed frustration at their limited access to Governor Palin. This scrutiny increased following a poorly received interview with Katie Couric which included the following exchanges:
    COURIC: You've cited Alaska's proximity to Russia as part of your foreign policy experience. What did you mean by that?
    PALIN: That Alaska has a very narrow maritime border between a foreign country, Russia, and on our other side, the land boundary that we have with Canada ... We have trade missions back and forth. We -- we do -- it's very important when you consider even national security issues with Russia as Putin rears his head and comes into the airspace of the United States of America, where -- where do they go? It's Alaska. It's just right over the border. It is from Alaska that we send those out to make sure that an eye is being kept on this very powerful nation, Russia, because they are right there. They are right next to -- to our state.
    ...
    COURIC: What other Supreme Court decisions do you disagree with?
    PALIN: Well, let’s see. There’s, of course in the great history of America there have been rulings, that’s never going to be absolute consensus by every American. And there are those issues, again, like Roe v. Wade, where I believe are best held on a state level and addressed there. So you know, going through the history of America, there would be others but …
    COURIC: Can you think of any?
    PALIN: Well, I could think of … any again, that could be best dealt with on a more local level. Maybe I would take issue with. But, you know, as mayor, and then as governor and even as a vice president, if I’m so privileged to serve, wouldn’t be in a position of changing those things but in supporting the law of the land as it reads today.
    ...
    COURIC: And when it comes to establishing your worldview, I was curious, what newspapers and magazines did you regularly read before you were tapped for this to stay informed and to understand the world?
    PALIN: I’ve read most of them, again with a great appreciation for the press, for the media.
    COURIC: What, specifically?
    PALIN: Um, all of them, any of them that have been in front of me all these years.
    COURIC: Can you name a few?
    PALIN: I have a vast variety of sources where we get our news, too. Alaska isn’t a foreign country, where it’s kind of suggested, “Wow, how could you keep in touch with what the rest of Washington, D.C., may be thinking when you live up there in Alaska?”
  • Health care reform has come up frequently on the campaign trail. Both candidates recognize a need to increase coverage and lower costs.
    • The Obama plan includes requiring health insurance companies to cover pre-existing conditions, a tax credit to incentivize small businesses to provide health coverage, requirements on large employers to provide health coverage or otherwise contribute financially to their employee's health care, and "a National Health Insurance Exchange with a range of private insurance options as well as a new public plan based on benefits available to members of Congress."
    • The McCain plan is to offer "a direct refundable tax credit ... of $2,500 for individuals and $5,000 for families to offset the cost of insurance" and promote health savings accounts. McCain also seeks to make it easier to purchase health insurance across state lines.
  • Attention has also been given to the candidate's differing tax plans.
    • The Obama tax plan is to cut taxes for the middle class further than the Bush tax cuts did, while increasing taxes on the wealthiest 2% of Americans back to levels as they were in the 1990s. Senator Obama also seeks to implement a universal 10% mortgage interest tax credit, the elimination of income taxes for seniors making less than $50,000 a year, and an expansion of the EITC.
    • The McCain tax plan is to preserve all of the Bush tax cuts, phase out the Alternative Minimum Tax, cut the corporate tax rate to 25%, and establish a large R&D tax credit. Senator McCain also pledges to keep the Internet free of taxes.
    • In October at a campaign stop, Senator Obama was confronted by Joe Wurzelbacher, who has since become known colloquially as "Joe the Plumber", with concerns that he would be taxed more if Senator Obama were to become President. More recently, Wurzelbacher has made joint appearances with John McCain on the campaign trail. The McCain campaign has in particular seized on Obama's comment to Joe that "I think when you spread the wealth around, it's good for everybody."
  • McCain, currently 72, would be the oldest first-term President if elected. McCain gave reporters an opportunity to review his full medical records, which showed that he is generally in good health and has relatively low risk of heart disease despite slightly elevated cholesterol and past issues with skin cancer.
  • If elected, Senator Obama would be the first African-American President of the United States. Obama was born in Hawaii, the son of a Kenyan economist and an anthropologist from Kansas. While many find the possibility of the first African-American President inspiring, particularly when combined with the optimistic rhetoric of Senator Obama's campaign, his identity has also been related to unique challenges for him during the campaign. Members of his own party during the primary implied that his success in the race was mainly due to his race. Former VP nominee Geraldine Ferraro said:
    If Obama was a white man, he would not be in this position. And if he was a woman (of any color) he would not be in this position. He happens to be very lucky to be who he is. And the country is caught up in the concept.
    Senator Biden, now Obama's running mate, said:
    I mean, you got the first mainstream African-American who is articulate and bright and clean and a nice-looking guy. I mean, that's a storybook, man.
    In addition, Senator Obama has faced false rumors that he was born in Kenya and that he is not Christian. Some argue that the spread of these rumors is motivated partially or entirely by racism.
  • Republicans have argued that Senator Obama is connected to problematic persons and organizations.
    • Roughly 40 years ago, now-professor Bill Ayers was a leading member of the militant Weather Underground Organization, which conducted a bombing campaign of targeting government buildings and financial institutions. Ayers first met Barack Obama through a non-profit reform project's board of directors, and later hosted a small informal event where a departing State Senator introduced Obama as her chosen successor. Through each of their active involvements in Chicago events and initiatives, they would serve on a couple of the same boards and panels in the years afterwards. There is virtually no evidence to support some Republican claims that Ayers was some sort of political adviser to Obama, who has referred to Ayers as "somebody who engaged in detestable acts 40 years ago, when I was 8."
    • Senator Obama's pastor, Jeremiah Wright, has been the subject of controversy related to several sermon excerpts. The excerpts include claims that the government lied about its advance knowledge of Pearl Harbor, that the government lied about "inventing the HIV virus as a means of genocide against people of color," and his comment that "America's chickens are coming home to roost," interpreted by some to be referring to the 9/11 attacks given the date of the sermon. President Obama addressed the issue in a broader speech on race in March of this year. Senator Obama stated:
      I have already condemned, in unequivocal terms, the statements of Reverend Wright that have caused such controversy. For some, nagging questions remain. Did I know him to be an occasionally fierce critic of American domestic and foreign policy? Of course. Did I ever hear him make remarks that could be considered controversial while I sat in church? Yes. Did I strongly disagree with many of his political views? Absolutely—just as I'm sure many of you have heard remarks from your pastors, priests, or rabbis with which you strongly disagreed.
      ...
      I can no more disown him than I can disown the black community. I can no more disown him than I can my white grandmother—a woman who helped raise me, a woman who sacrificed again and again for me, a woman who loves me as much as she loves anything in this world, but a woman who once confessed her fear of black men who passed by her on the street, and who on more than one occasion has uttered racial or ethnic stereotypes that made me cringe. These people are a part of me. And they are a part of America, this country that I love.
    • Pro-labor NGO ACORN has been accused by Republicans of orchestrating voter fraud, though further investigation has revealed this claim to be overstated at best. ACORN has hired people in the past to assist in voter registration, and sometimes these workers have come up with phony registrations - however, this issue seems to be motivated by laziness of individual workers rather than an attempt to conduct voter fraud. Obama served as a local counsel for ACORN in the 90s, and was endorsed by the ACORN political action committee during the primary. The Obama campaign also hired an ACORN affiliate for get-out-the-vote efforts during the primary.
  • Representative John Lewis, a civil rights icon, has received blowback for comments he made regarding the tone of the McCain/Palin campaign. Lewis accused the campaign of "sowing the seeds of hatred and division," and brought up the example of George Wallace never throwing a bomb or firing a gun but creating "the climate and the conditions that encouraged vicious attacks against innocent Americans." McCain called the comments "hurtful" and called on Senator Obama to repudiate the comments. The Obama campaign has said that the comparison made by Rep. Lewis was inappropriate.
  • Senator McCain describes himself as a "free trader" and has criticized Senator Obama for opposing some free trade agreements. The Obama team has pledged to "use trade agreements to spread good labor and environmental standards around the world and stand firm against agreements like the Central American Free Trade Agreement that fail to live up to those important benchmarks." Senator Obama has also pledged to "fix" NAFTA.
Debate Excerpts
First Presidential Debate (full transcript)
(1) Obama on government spending:
John, it's been your president who you said you agreed with 90 percent of the time who presided over this increase in spending. This orgy of spending and enormous deficits you voted for almost all of his budgets. So to stand here and after eight years and say that you're going to lead on controlling spending and, you know, balancing our tax cuts so that they help middle class families when over the last eight years that hasn't happened I think just is, you know, kind of hard to swallow.
(2) McCain on Iraq:
I think the lessons of Iraq are very clear that you cannot have a failed strategy that will then cause you to nearly lose a conflict. Our initial military success, we went in to Baghdad and everybody celebrated. And then the war was very badly mishandled. I went to Iraq in 2003 and came back and said, we've got to change this strategy. This strategy requires additional troops, it requires a fundamental change in strategy and I fought for it. And finally, we came up with a great general and a strategy that has succeeded.
(3) Obama on meeting foreign adversaries "without precondition":
I reserve the right, as president of the United States to meet with anybody at a time and place of my choosing if I think it's going to keep America safe ... Now, understand what this means "without preconditions." It doesn't mean that you invite them over for tea one day. What it means is that we don't do what we've been doing, which is to say, "Until you agree to do exactly what we say, we won't have direct contacts with you."
(4) McCain on Iran:
My reading of the threat from Iran is that if Iran acquires nuclear weapons, it is an existential threat to the State of Israel and to other countries in the region because the other countries in the region will feel compelling requirement to acquire nuclear weapons as well.
Now we cannot have a second Holocaust. Let's just make that very clear. What I have proposed for a long time, and I've had conversation with foreign leaders about forming a league of democracies, let's be clear and let's have some straight talk. The Russians are preventing significant action in the United Nations Security Council.
Vice-Presidential Debate (full transcript)
(1) Biden on what his administration would look like if a President Obama were to die in office:
God forbid that would ever happen, it would be a national tragedy of historic proportions if it were to happen.
But if it did, I would carry out Barack Obama's policy, his policies of reinstating the middle class, making sure they get a fair break, making sure they have access to affordable health insurance, making sure they get serious tax breaks, making sure we can help their children get to college, making sure there is an energy policy that leads us in the direction of not only toward independence and clean environment but an energy policy that creates 5 million new jobs, a foreign policy that ends this war in Iraq, a foreign policy that goes after the one mission the American public gave the president after 9/11, to get and capture or kill bin Laden and to eliminate al Qaeda. A policy that would in fact engage our allies in making sure that we knew we were acting on the same page and not dictating.
(2) Palin on what her administration would look like if a President McCain were to die in office:
And heaven forbid, yes, that would ever happen, no matter how this ends up, that that would ever happen with either party.
As for disagreeing with John McCain and how our administration would work, what do you expect? A team of mavericks, of course we're not going to agree on 100 percent of everything. As we discuss ANWR there, at least we can agree to disagree on that one. I will keep pushing him on ANWR. I have so appreciated he has never asked me to check my opinions at the door and he wants a deliberative debate and healthy debate so we can make good policy.
What I would do also, if that were to ever happen, though, is to continue the good work he is so committed to of putting government back on the side of the people and get rid of the greed and corruption on Wall Street and in Washington.
Second Presidential Debate (Town Hall) (full transcript)
(1) McCain on nuclear energy:
But we kept the debate going, and we kept this issue to -- to posing to Americans the danger that climate change opposes. Now, how -- what's -- what's the best way of fixing it? Nuclear power. Senator Obama says that it has to be safe or disposable or something like that. Look, I -- I was on Navy ships that had nuclear power plants. Nuclear power is safe, and it's clean, and it creates hundreds of thousands of jobs.
(2) Obama on McCain's criticism that he's being reckless on foreign policy:
Senator McCain, this is the guy who sang, "Bomb, bomb, bomb Iran," who called for the annihilation of North Korea. That I don't think is an example of "speaking softly." This is the person who, after we had -- we hadn't even finished Afghanistan, where he said, "Next up, Baghdad."
(3) McCain on Russia:
I said before, watch Ukraine. Ukraine, right now, is in the sights of Vladimir Putin, those that want to reassemble the old Soviet Union. We've got to show moral support for Georgia.We've got to show moral support for Ukraine. We've got to advocate for their membership in NATO. We have to make the Russians understand that there are penalties for these this kind of behavior, this kind of naked aggression into Georgia, a tiny country and a tiny democracy.
(4) Obama on spending priorities:
You know, you may have seen your health care premiums go up. We've got to reform health care to help you and your budget. We are going to have to deal with energy because we can't keep on borrowing from the Chinese and sending money to Saudi Arabia. We are mortgaging our children's future. We've got to have a different energy plan. We've got to invest in college affordability. So we're going to have to make some investments, but we've also got to make spending cuts. And what I've proposed, you'll hear Senator McCain say, well, he's proposing a whole bunch of new spending, but actually I'm cutting more than I'm spending so that it will be a net spending cut.
Third Presidential Debate (full transcript)
(1) McCain on Obama's economic plans:
I don't think there's any doubt that Sen. Obama wants to restrict trade and he wants to raise taxes. And the last president of the United States that tried that was Herbert Hoover, and we went from a deep recession into a depression.
(2) Obama on comments by Congressman Lewis:
I mean, look, if we want to talk about Congressman Lewis, who is an American hero, he, unprompted by my campaign, without my campaign's awareness, made a statement that he was troubled with what he was hearing at some of the rallies that your running mate was holding, in which all the Republican reports indicated were shouting, when my name came up, things like "terrorist" and "kill him," and that your running mate didn't mention, didn't stop, didn't say "Hold on a second, that's kind of out of line."
(3) McCain on Obama's connections:
I don't care about an old washed-up terrorist [Bill Ayers]. But as Sen. Clinton said in her debates with you, we need to know the full extent of that relationship.
We need to know the full extent of Sen. Obama's relationship with ACORN, who is now on the verge of maybe perpetrating one of the greatest frauds in voter history in this country, maybe destroying the fabric of democracy. The same front outfit organization that your campaign gave $832,000 for "lighting and site selection." So all of these things need to be examined, of course.
(4) Obama on who he associates with:
Let me tell you who I associate with. On economic policy, I associate with Warren Buffett and former Fed Chairman Paul Volcker. If I'm interested in figuring out my foreign policy, I associate myself with my running mate, Joe Biden or with Dick Lugar, the Republican ranking member on the Senate Foreign Relations Committee, or General Jim Jones, the former supreme allied commander of NATO.
Those are the people, Democrats and Republicans, who have shaped my ideas and who will be surrounding me in the White House. And I think the fact that this has become such an important part of your campaign, Sen. McCain, says more about your campaign than it says about me.
Platforms
Read the full 2008 Republican platform here.
Read the full 2008 Democratic platform here.
Internet Resources
Obama/Biden Website
McCain/Palin Website
The GOP's BarackBook
The Obama Campaign's Fight the Smears
Videos
Debates
First Presidential Debate
Vice-Presidential Debate
Second Presidential Debate (Town Hall)
Third Presidential Debate
Advertisements
Obama "same path" ad
Obama "McCain tax" ad
Obama "something" ad
McCain "fight" ad
McCain anti-Obama "celebrity" ad
McCain anti-Obama Bill Ayers ad
Strawpoll
>>>VOTE HERE<<<
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2020.10.20 20:25 mr_tyler_durden Notes and Highlights of Kentucky Governor Andy Beshear’s Live Update October 20, 2020

Notes and Highlights of Kentucky Governor Andy Beshear’s Live Update October 20, 2020
Notes by mr_tyler_durden and Daily Update Team
Check your registration status, ballot status, or how to vote here!
Note: Thank you to the people who have given awards to these posts but I do want to say: Please don’t spend money to give these posts an award or if you want to give then donate it here instead. These people need your help more than I need awards. I guess if you are just spending reddit coins that you already have then that’s fine but don’t spend new money, donate it instead. Thank you all!
Watch here:
Headlines
Full Notes
(continued in stickied comment)
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2020.10.19 18:51 boybyebye2022 [BB] Big Brother 2: No Strings Attached

Welcome to Season 2 of Big Brother featuring an upgraded cast of SIXTEEN slightly fresh strangers moving in under one roof for nine weeks of power struggle, lies, betrayal, alliances, and an ultimate battle for the cash prize. Who will win it all? Check out the cast below:
CAST (*denotes recruit) (**took recruit spot)
Aisatou "Tou" Oluwo\* – 22 years old. Law student hoping to lay low and pull the strings from Tempe, AZ.
Bertha "Mama Betty" Kooples\* – 46 years old. Stay-at-home housewife from Saginaw, MI.
Breanna Lopez – 29 years old. Costume designer from Aspen, CO. (u/Ever24)
Charlotte Small – 36 years old. Strong-willed personal trainer plagued by her past. (u/Nahuelfire39)
Eric Chang – 25 years old. Introverted professional gamer from Westminster, California. (u/asiansurvivorfan)
Freddie Bennett*\* – 23 years old. Ambitious medical student with bleeding patriotism for the U.S.A. (u/Nahuelfire39)
Jeremy Oran\* – 21 years old. Part-time retail worker, loves the gym, and looking for a showmance.
Jesse Kemp – 34 years old. UFC boxer from Sterling, Massachusetts. (u/FrieNads)
Justin Samuels – 25 years old. High school Environmental Science teacher from Houston, TX. (u/Ever24)
Karen Greene – 40 years old. Self-made entrepreneur from Milwaukee, Wisconsin. (u/AngolanDesert)
Madyson Anderson – 25 years old. Nurse from Los Angeles, CA looking for some fun under the sun. (u/JTsidol)
Pablo Chavez – 43 years old. Comedian from Mexico City, MX. (u/asiansurvivorfan)
Shawn "The Syncopation" Voldoski – 23 years old. Ruthless drummer from New York, NY (u/swoldow)
Ursula Vachovich – 32 years old. Struggling actress from Los Angeles, CA. (u/swoldow)
Vincent "Vince" Graham – 29 years old. Tough guy from New York, NY. (u/AngolanDesert)
Yu-Ni "Yu" Che – 23 years old. Criminology student from Daegu, South Korea. (u/FrieNads)
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PLAY THE SEASON
Voting Chart
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SUMMARY:
Week 1: >! Five alliances at the start of the game as the first HOH is about to begin. Jesse wins the first HOH of the season–an endurance competition. At the nomination ceremony, he nominates The Syncopation and Charlotte for eviction, stating that he doesn’t really like them. At the POV competition, The Syncopation takes the gold–saving himself from eviction for the first week. Jesse names Justin, one of Charlotte’s fellow alliance members, as a replacement nominee, locking in Charlotte and Justin as the nominees for eviction this week. Things get crazy in the house this week… The Syncopation threatens to quit and breaks down, Vince tells the houseguests he finds Freddie creepy, Ursula and Breanna tighten their bond, Yu receives some extra prize money and Tou flips the mattress on Charlotte’s bed… uh-oh. By a vote of 8 to 5, Charlotte is the first person evicted from Season 2 of Big Brother. !<
Week 2: >! Justin and Ursula’s alliance has lost a number and they seem to be on the outs but it could be too soon to tell. At the HOH competition, Freddie takes the power and nominates Vince, who was previously spreading rumors about Freddie, and Jeremy. At the POV competition, Mama Betty wins but does not use the POV–even though Vince did select her name through houseguest choice. In the house this week, Justin lashes out at Tou, Jeremy begins to work his social game–campaigning to stay in the house, and The Syncopation has yet another breakdown. By a landslide vote of 11 to 1, Vince is evicted from the Big Brother house. !<
Week 3: >! At the HOH competition, Jeremy wins HOH after a close battle between him, Eric, and Maddie. He nominates Justin and Freddie… Justin seems to be a villain in the house at this time but either nominees could be his target. Breanna wins the POV and uses it on Freddie due to their strong relationship. Jeremy puts Justin’s last ally on the block, Ursula. Later on, Tou holds a house meeting to apologize for her behavior, Freddie and Karen bond, Justin breaks one of Tou’s borrowed items, and Breanna attempts to improve relations among the house. At eviction night, by a vote of 7 to 4, Ursula is evicted from the Big Brother house. !<
Week 4: >! The previous alliance of Justin, Charlotte, and Ursula has crumbled due to Justin being the last one standing… but with the fall of one, a new one rises with Tou, Breanna, Jeremy, Karen, Madyson, and Yu. At the HOH competition, Jesse wins his second HOH of the season–proving to be a comp beast early on in the season. At the nomination ceremony, he nominates The Syncopation and Justin (shocker!). Karen wins the POV for the week and does not use it on either nominees, ensuring that either The Syncopation or Justin will be leaving this week. These houseguests are definitely a fiery bunch as Yu and Jesse have a heated argument later on, followed by Yu lashing out at Eric. Yu later on invents a game for the house–attempting to remedy her previous altercations. Freddie shares a personal story with Mama Betty as well. On eviction night, The Syncopation is evicted by a vote of 6 to 4 and gives an explosive speech before exiting the house. Justin lives to see yet another day in the Big Brother house. !<
Week 5: >! Jeremy wins his second HOH of the season after Tou and Yu, his two alliance members, finished third and second respectively. He nominates Justin and Freddie, his two rivals in the house as he targeted them both during Week 3. Jeremy takes all the power this week with the POV, ensuring that his nominees are not changed. In the house, Karen breaks down and threatens to quit, Jeremy and Justin have a heated argument, Jesse tells other houseguests he believes Eric is creepy, Freddie’s ego is growing massive, and Karen attempts to remedy relations in the house. After weeks of trying to get him out, by a vote of 8 to 1, Justin is evicted from the Big Brother House. !<
Week 6: >! We’re about at the halfway point and so far no girl has won HOH yet! The alliance between Karen and Maddie has dissolved. At the endurance HOH competition, Maddie takes the power and nominates Freddie and Pablo. At the POV competition, Breanna wins the Power of Veto and uses it on Freddie at the ceremony. Maddie names Jesse as the replacement nominee. Too much happens in the house this week which results in Tou having an outburst and the eviction is cancelled. (I’m sad about Tou omg my recruit RIP and now she wasted a jury vote oh well) !<
Week 7: >! The alliance that included Karen, Maddie, and Tou has dissolved. Jesse wins his third HOH after he was most likely going home in Week 6. He nominates Yu and Eric for eviction, stating that he’s not a fan of either of them. At the POV competition, Jeremy wins and saves his ally, Yu. Jesse backdoors Maddie who backdoored him the week before. Jeremy slips an inappropriate comment, Pablo lashes out at Breanna, Jeremy and Eric build a bond, and Karen shares a story of why she needs the money. On eviction night, a close vote of 4 to 3 sends Eric packing as Maddie’s alliances ultimately save the day. !<
Week 8: >! Jesse and Jeremy are BOTH powerhouses and the other houseguests should definitely band together to get them out before the two of them take everyone else out. A new alliance forms with the same people from Alliance #6 except for a swap between the older women in the house. Mama Betty is now in Karen’s spot in this new alliance. At the Face-Off HOH competition, Yu wins her first competition of the season! Yu nominates Jesse and Pablo for eviction, assuming that her target is Jesse. At the Zingbot POV competition, Yu takes all the power for the week, ensuring that her nominees stay the same. In the house this week, Karen and Freddie bond, Pablo’s ego begins to rub people the wrong way, and Jeremy earns prize money. At eviction night, Pablo is evicted by a vote of 4 to 2. !<
Week 9: >! It’s the final 8 and at this point, everyone has won a competition! Jesse seems to be the only houseguest not in any of the alliances. Jeremy wins the HOH competition and nominates Freddie and Jesse for eviction. At the POV competition, Jeremy secures all of the power and ensures that his nominees remain the same. Karen calls out Yu and states she deserves to leave, Freddie slips an inappropriate comment, and Breanna earns prize money! By a unanimous vote, Jesse is evicted from the Big Brother house. !<
Week 10: >! At the HOH competition, Freddie wins power and nominates Maddie and Jeremy for eviction. For the 3rd week in a row, the HOH takes all the power as Freddie wins the POV. He keeps his nominees the same, ensuring that Jeremy leaves but anything could change between now and the vote. Mama Betty works her social game while Yu does the same. In a shocking unanimous vote, the girls keep Jeremy over Maddie, sending her to the jury house. (they’re gonna regret it lmao) !<
Week 11: >! Karen leaves the alliance with Breanna and Freddie. Karen wins her first HOH of the season! At the nomination ceremony, she puts up Mama Betty and Freddie for eviction. Karen secures all the power for the week by winning the POV in the Garden of Veto competition. Karen uses the POV on Mama Betty and BACKDOORS her alliance member Jeremy… but will the other girls vote him out? Yu and Jeremy bond well in the house this week. At eviction night, despite Karen’s attempt to make a big move, Freddie is evicted unanimously. !<
Week 12: >! It’s the final 5 and Jeremy is the last guy standing. Yu wins the HOH competition and nominates the two older ladies in the house, Mama Betty and Karen. At the POV competition, Jeremy wins his fourth POV of the season but does not use it, locking in Yu’s nominees. Karen and Yu bond extremely well in the house this week. Breanna votes to evict Mama Betty while Jeremy votes to evict Karen. Yu as the HOH breaks the tie and votes to evict Karen from the house. !<
Week 13: >! Mama Betty wins the most important HOH of the season, securing her spot in the Final 3. She nominates Breanna and Jeremy and states that Breanna is her target to leave the house this week. Jeremy wins the POV which automatically puts Yu on the block in his place. Mama Betty works hard to get Breanna to leave this week but the deciding vote is up to Jeremy. At eviction night, Jeremy evicts Breanna, sending her to the jury house. !<
Final 3: >! Jeremy wins the first part of the Final HOH which means he advances to the third round while Yu and Mama Betty battle it out in the second. Yu wins the second part against Mama Betty. In the third round, Yu wins the final HOH competition. In an interesting choice, she votes to evict Mama Betty, sending her to jury and selecting Jeremy as her final 2 partner. !<
Finale: >! Jeremy states that he deserves to win due to overall better performance on challenges, winning 8 total challenges and surviving even though he was nominated five times. Yu states that she was more loyal, had a better social game, and did not receive a vote the entire game. !<
Runner-up: >! Jeremy! Received 3 votes from Mama Betty, Eric, and Tou. I assume Mama Betty was bitter that Yu cut her instead of Jeremy but Yu must have been faithful in her jury management to secure the win against him. I thought Jeremy was an amazing comp beast this season and the rivalry in the beginning between him, Justin, Freddie was super interesting. Overall, he was a great character and I wouldn’t have been upset if he won because he was nominated the most (tied with Freddie) and still made it to Final 2. !<
Winner: >! Yu! Yu was definitely a background player until Week 4 where she caused tensions to flare in the house. She was a smart player who targeted strong players but the votes didn’t always fall in her favor (re: Week 8). She definitely surprised me as she wasn’t the person I predicted to win it all. Although, I think both of the final 2 had a great social game (with a few blips), Yu really worked it and was able to not receive one vote from anyone and avoided the block until the halfway point. !<
Fan Favorite: >! Breanna. Breanna didn’t seem to make many waves this season but I could see how fans enjoyed her. She was at the source of some of the drama during this season so I believe she deserves fan fav! !<
Potential returnees: >! (so many great competitors this season!!) Jeremy, Karen, Mama Betty, Freddie, Maddie, Jesse, Justin (ROBBED!!), and The Syncopation (gone too soon!) !<
Overall thoughts: >! I felt like this season was so dramatic??! Like gave me Big Brother 10 vibes the way everyone was arguing week after week. In the beginning, I was dying at Justin being nominated week after week despite not having won any comps… they really did not enjoy him. I was so frustrated at the girls for keeping Jeremy in week after week as he continued to keep winning competitions but clearly he had them misted enough! Overall, I thought it was a great season!! Excited for season 3!!! !<
Statistics:
>! Most challenge wins: Jeremy with 8 wins !<
>! HOH wins: Jeremy, Jesse, Yu-Ni tied with 3 wins !<
>! PoV wins: Jeremy with 5 wins !<
>! Times nominated: Freddie and Jeremy tied for 5 !<
>! Veto used: 6 times !<
>! Most votes received: Justin with 21 votes !<
submitted by boybyebye2022 to BrantSteele [link] [comments]


2020.10.19 18:46 arrogantdesperado How do you see the Braves changing this offseason?

I think the two most obvious questions are:
  1. Will we be able to make a competitive offer to bring back Marcell Ozuna?
  2. Will we attempt to sign Trevor Bauer?
My gut says no to number 1 and yes to number 2, but I'd really love to have Marcell back. He was such an outstanding fit with the young guys on this team. However, I think he made himself a lot of money this year, and it's just hard to imagine the Braves making him the largest offer based on a 60-game season when he significantly outperformed the rest of his career, especially when the future of the designated hitter in the National League is unclear.
As for Bauer, I think the Braves could still really benefit from an elite veteran starter. Fried and Anderson look like fixtures in the rotation, and getting Soroka back should be a major boon, though we don't know how he'll respond to an Achilles injury. I'm not sure what pitchers' track records are with that.
If Bauer is still intending to sign one-year deals, Bauer and Atlanta feel like a perfect match. Big time, strikeout pitcher who will battle and eat innings against anyone, and a one-year deal will give us the opportunity to see how well the young guys develop and how well Soroka recovers. If Bauer isn't signing a one-year deal, I think it still might be worth pursuing him, as it would allow us to more comfortably offer guys like Wright and Wilson in trades to improve the team elsewhere. Both of those guys are young enough with good enough stuff that they could still be great assets, especially since each guy had one great start this postseason. But you'd have to imagine Bauer would still be a big upgrade, so his long-term acquisition would comfortably afford us losing one of them in a trade, especially if Manfred is prepared to let him keep cheating.
Edit: After reading some of the comments, I think I've changed my mind about how seriously I expect us to pursue Bauer, though I think we'll talk to him, and it could be a good idea to have an ace-tier pitcher to go with our young guys.
The way I see it, these guys should be pretty much locked into everyday roles next year (in order of descending job security):
  • Ronald Acuña Jr. in Right Field
  • Freddie Freeman at First Base
  • Ozzie Albies at Second Base
  • Dansby Swanson at Shortstop
  • Cristian Pache in Center Field
Here's how I view the other positions:

Catcher

While d'Arnaud could obviously have a huge part to play, his defensive shortcomings mean that signing J.T. Realmuto, who seems prepared to test free agency rather than re-upping with Philadelphia, is far from out of the question. Travis had an amazing year at the plate for us, but one has to wonder if it's sustainable. Travis was in the top 10% of baseball this season in xwOBA, exit velocity, hard hit rate, and xSLG, so his performance this season wasn't lucky or flukey. However, his career xwOBA, even including this season's numbers, is just .328, which isn't terrible, but certainly not good enough to make him a nailed-on starting catcher when he doesn't excel at any aspect of catcher defense. Hell, even this season, Realmuto bested Travis in both rWAR and fWAR.
From 2017-2020, Realmuto has 9 defensive runs saved in comparison to d'Arnaud's -14, and he's been an above-average hitter every season since 2016. Realmuto's career wRC+ (109) still compares favorably to d'Arnaud's (101). And Realmuto's younger.
Also worth noting that Realmuto's framing has improved every year of his career. Here are his numbers from Baseball Savant:
  • 2015: 44.5% strike rate, -7 runs saved from extra strikes
  • 2016: 44.7% strike rate, -11 runs saved from extra strikes
  • 2017: 46.7% strike rate, 3 runs saved from extra strikes
  • 2018: 48.3% strike rate, 5 runs saved from extra strikes
  • 2019: 50.4% strike rate, 8 runs saved from extra strikes
  • 2020: 51.9% strike rate, 3 runs saved from extra strikes (If he kept up what he did on ~1000 pitches this season over the course of ~3500 pitches that he normally frames in a season, it would be more like 10 or 11 runs saved from extra strikes)
Realmuto has become the best of the best at stealing strikes on both edges of the plate, and he's solid on both high and low pitches now, too. Add that to his elite arm, MLB-best pop time, elite fielding ability, great baserunning, and consistent bat, and he's just the best catcher in baseball. I think every team will have to take a look at him, including the Braves, who only have d'Arnaud signed up for next season. While catcher wasn't a weak spot for Atlanta in 2020, selling high on d'Arnaud might not be the worst idea in the world if the opportunity to pair Realmuto with William Contreras, Shea Langeliers, or Alex Jackson presents itself.

Third Base

If Ozuna moves on, this could be another place where we look to add value. Austin Riley has bags of talent, and he's very young, but he's far from a sure thing. He hasn't hit yet at the MLB level, and the defensive metrics aren't promising so far, though they won't be a great indicator of his true talent and future value until he gets a couple more seasons under his belt.
On the plus side for Riley, he hit into a bit of bad luck this season, with just a .302 wOBA against a .325 xwOBA, and he did a great job getting the K rate under control as the season progressed. The walk rate, while still not good enough, is trending up, too. He's shown the capability to continuously improve at all aspects of his game. If we're patient with him, it could really pay off for us.
However, even without bad luck, Austin would have only been an average hitter this year, and that won't hold up at third base without elite defense, which as of right now, we have no reason to expect from him. Statcast's Outs Above Average statistic does view him as an average defensive third baseman, but DRS and UZR both view him as one of the game's worst fielders at the hot corner. And while those numbers are not yet predictive, you'd much rather have them be good than bad.
I believe Austin could easily become a decent everyday third baseman, and I think his upside at the plate if he is able to continue improving his plate discipline like he did this season is astronomical. It becomes a question of how many players we're willing to be patient with while we're in our World Series window. If I have to choose one guy to let take his lumps next season, I'm going with the younger player with sure-thing defense at a premium position and letting Cristian Pache play every day in center field, even though I expect him to struggle at the plate. As these playoffs showed, we might not be able to beat the Dodgers with both Pache and Riley in the lineup.
You have to wonder just how low Colorado and Chicago are selling on Nolan Arenado and Kris Bryant, respectively. Arenado had a dreadful year at the plate, and in general, his bat won't play as well outside of Coors (he's outperforming his xwOBA by .032 for his career to this point), but he's still unquestionably the best defensive third baseman in the game, and he has been for pretty much his whole career. That makes his floor pretty damn high, and if he performs in line with his career .350 xwOBA, he'll still be one of the most valuable assets in baseball even outside of Coors. But the Rockies might be having some buyer's remorse on that contract, and while taking on a long-term contract of that size seems out of character for the Braves, it might be worth it, especially if the cost in trade assets is below Arenado's value.
Bryant, on the other hand, struggled with injury this season and never really got off the ground. He's not a great defensive third baseman by any metric, so you need him to hit, but he definitely has done that to the tune of a 136 wRC+ and .364 xwOBA in his career. He would be a rental, so you'd expect that the player cost of a trade might not be exorbitant, but he might not be worth moving on from Riley, especially if we have to trade Riley in a trade for him. But it's more in keeping with this front office's MO to go for the player on the one-year deal than the player on the long-term deal.
A less sexy idea might be taking a look at Chip's crush Brian Anderson, who's going into his first year of arbitration, plays a solid hot corner, and sports a 113 career wRC+, having hit to at least a 112 wRC+ in each of the last 3 seasons. He's coming into his prime, and his walk rate is above average. His .336 career xwOBA exactly matches his .336 career wOBA. Just a solid, consistent player whose floor is much higher than Riley's, though his ceiling is likely much lower. You have to wonder if the Fish would trade with a division rival after making the playoffs, though.
On the free-agent market, a slightly crazy idea might be to take a look at DJ LeMahieu. At 32, LeMahieu has never played 3rd full time, but he hasn't been too bad at it when he has played it. And he's been one of the game's best hitters the past two seasons. Likely out of Atlanta's price range, anyway.
It's also hard to imagine Justin Turner leaving Los Angeles, but the 35-year-old does hit the market this offseason, and, while his ability to field his position is in question, he shows no signs of slowing at the plate. Might not be a bad idea for a short-term DH if for some reason he can't find an agreement with LA.

Left Field

Adam Duvall was great this season, and he's a great defensive left fielder. He'll be on the team next year without question. But I don't know if we want to bet on him hitting. His career xwOBA is still just .322. His career wRC+ is just 96. Even this year, Adam's xwOBA was only .324. He's very streaky, he loves to strike out, and when he's not going launch mode, his contact quality is nothing to write home about. If Ozuna's gone, this may be somewhere we need to look at adding a serious, unquestionable threat. Adam moving to the bench would really strengthen our bench as well, which was a weak spot this season.
...I'm just not sure who that is. The best option on free agency might be Joc Pederson, who could be a really interesting platoon partner with Duvall, but you have to say that would be an underwhelming Ozuna replacement. His career .346 xwOBA is pretty solid, but he's nothing special as a fielder, and his walk rate has dropped from around 13% in his first three seasons to around 9% in his last three seasons. Still, he hits the ball hard, and his career 118 wRC+ would slot in well to any lineup, even after a down year this season (88 wRC+) fueled in part by terrible luck (he underperformed his xwOBA by .032). He would be strictly a platoon player, though, as he's been absolutely useless against lefties in his career (59 wRC+). But pair Duvall's elite left field defense and career 107 wRC+ against lefties with Pederson's career 128 wRC+ against righties, and we might really have something out there.
If the Mets can't agree to an extension with Michael Conforto, he would be a great option, but it's always dicey trading within division. His wRC+ from 2017-2020 is actually better than Ozuna's, and his career .362 xwOBA is pretty much on par with Ozuna's career .366 xwOBA. Hard to imagine the Mets trading Conforto to the Braves, though. It would absolutely devastate Mets fans.
Tommy Pham is also an excellent player playing on a one-year deal in 2020, but he did just get stabbed pretty bad, and I'm not sure San Diego would have any reason to let him go anyway.
I wouldn't mind freeing Joey Gallo from that cavernous new park in Texas, but I'm sure he'd be a polarizing option. He is the very definition of a three-true-outcomes player, and I'm not sure having a guy who strikes out nearly 40% of the time could work in a playoff series against the Dodgers. But the bottom line is that he still has a 110 career wRC+ with great defense in left field and no pronounced platoon splits. He'd start everyday in left for almost every team in the league. And he's only 26.
I'm ignoring George Springer's pending free agency because, frankly, I detest the Astros for profaning the game, and I don't want anyone from that team in our dugout. But he's obviously a great player. I'd much rather bring back Ozuna than sign him, though.
If I had to guess what happens at those positions, I'd be pretty conservative, to be honest:
  • I think Riley gets another year
  • I think we bring in someone like Pederson to split time with Duvall
  • I think we probably keep Travis as primary catcher and move whomever we like the most of Contreras, Jackson and Langeliers into the number 2 catcher role.
Extending Freddie Freeman to make sure he retires a Brave will, of course, be a priority. I also expect the Braves to let Mark Melancon and Shane Greene walk, though I could see us trying to sign them to team-friendly deals. I think we'll probably buy out Ender Inciarte if the $1.025 million buyout listed on his Spotrac page is accurate. And I think it's finally time for us to part ways with Nick Markakis.
I'm gonna guess that the 2021 Braves look like this:
  • SP: Fried, Anderson, Soroka, Veteran, Wright/Wilson
  • C: d'Arnaud, Contreras
  • 1B: Freeman
  • 2B: Albies
  • 3B: Riley
  • SS: Swanson
  • LF: Duvall, Pederson
  • CF: Pache
  • RF: Acuña
What about y'all? How do you see this offseason playing out? What do you want to happen, and what do you think will happen?
submitted by arrogantdesperado to Braves [link] [comments]


2020.10.18 05:49 allformsofgod Ethan Black Takes Over WWE Part Two: WrestleMania 36 Recap and Review

WrestleMania 36 Results
Seth Rollins def. Kevin Owns in a No Disqualifications Match
FPW rating: 93%
Seth Rollins defeated Kevin Owens in a NQ match that didn’t seem to have the sorts of spots usually associated with these types of matches. Fairly tame all things considered and had no blade jobs whatsoever. Despite some early brawling on the outside and single chair shot (to the head, which is another change apparently), this was mostly old-fashioned, technical, mat wrestling that told an engaging wrestling story, which is by no means a bad thing. As great as this match was , it felt weird to be the opener, as this should have been much later in the show. Both men gave post-match interviews, and while Owens was naturally displeased and angry, Rollins came across as a big player in future plans since Ambrose/Moxley didn’t make an appearance and Reigns has declared for the tag team division.
Sasha Banks, Bayley, Asuka, and Kairi Sane def. Mandy Rose, Sonya Deville, Natalya, and Charlotte Flair in an Eight Woman Tag Team Elimination Match
FPW rating: 96%
The eight woman tag team elimination match was hard hitting and fast paced, a match that saw all eight women hit their finishers within a span of four minutes. Every one of these women looked unbelievably phenomenal with the exception of Flair who seemed to be slightly out-of-synch with the rest towards the beginning, although seemed to get into a groove towards the finish. This match was about as perfect as one of these types of matches could be, the crowd was hot, Deville and Natalya had some good heat, Bayley and Banks came across as total babyfaces, and most importantly, this match didn’t seem to have a single second of dead time. While not the most amazing match on the card, this should have been the opening match by a long shot, and the future of these women seem bright.
Lars Sullivan def. Lio Rush
FPW rating: 61%
Lars Sullivan defeated Lio Rush in what was probably the worst match on the card. Clocking in a just under six minutes and more than a little underwhelming due to its one sided nature. Sullivan attacked Rush on the entrance ramp before the match and Rush just couldn’t seem to find any momentum at any point after the bell. Their appearance on their show (and the notable absences of quite a few big names) leaves a lot of questions. Clearly Black sees potential for both of these men, though what direction they will take remains to be seen as Lio Rush appeared to be incredibly hurt by his appearance here even if the fans cheered him.
The Usos def. Sami Zayne and Hideo Itami to retain the WWE World Tag Team Championship
FPW rating: 84%
No one in their right mind could have imagined how brilliant the pairing between Zayne and Itami (formerly KENTA) would be and almost no one could have foreseen the chemistry between the two when they were first announced as a tag team and had that awkward push back in late January, but here we are, and although they were unable to capture gold, these four men tore the roof off and the crowd seemed really into it. Black obviously trusts The Usos and for good measure, as they seem to be cemented on top of the tag team division and they do not appear to be leaving the top any time soon.
Ricochet def. John Morrison to win the WWE United States Championship
FPW rating: 80%
Ricochet defeated John Morrison for the United States Championship. Black has mentioned several times that the U.S. Title will be seen as a Jr Heavyweight title while also doubling as the occasional TV title, whatever that means remains to be seen. This was a fairly decent match with Ricochet being Ricochet, but it was truly John Morrison who stole the show and seems to be benefiting immensely from Black’s hands off approach to ring-work. Looking at the roster, Ricochet has no shortage of contenders over the next few months and according to Black, could even main event quite a few shows. Whether this opens up a path for Morrison to pursue another title remains to be seen.
The Riott Squad def. Nia Jax and Shayna Bazler to win the WWE Women’s World Tag Team Championship
FPW rating: 89%
Ruby Riott and Liv Morgan captured the Tag Team titles to strip Nia Jax and Shayna Bazler of a championship they’ve been carrying for over one hundred days. The women’s tag team division seemed to be pushed awkwardly and a little rushed at first, though it seems to be coming into its own. The match was perfectly all right, though this seemed to be a showcase for Ruby Riott who got the pinfall on Nia Jax after dominating much of the match. Plenty of challengers await the Riott Squad in the coming months, though who they drop the title to seems less important than Ruby Riott striking out on her own in single’s competition. Ruby Riott was present at the press conference, though Liv Morgan was not, leading many insiders to speculate whether there was an injury or not.
Io Shirai def. Kay Lee Ray to win the unified WWE Women’s Intercontinental Championship
FPW rating: 85%
Io Shirai captured the newly formed Women’s Intercontinental Championship in a match that was extremely entertaining. Shirai was present at the press conference but had little remarks about her victory though she did seem to be in a positive mood. Kay Lee Ray was approached for a post-match interview though declined to comment. This was the inaugural match for the newly formed WWE Women’s Intercontinental Championship which unified both NXT titles. Previously Shirai and Ray had been NXT Women’s Champions in the US and the UK respectively.
Finn Balor def. Rey Mysterio to win the WWE Jr. Heavyweight Championship
FPW rated: 79%
Finn Balor defeated Rey Mysterio to become the second person to capture the Jr Heavyweight title. It was far from the best match of the night, but it certainly was fun, featuring high flying action and a ridiculously fast paced that made the 14 minutes feel like a flash. Sources say that Black sees Mysterio as someone who is incredibly influential, both in the ring and in the locker room, so it makes sense that he would lose cleanly to Balor, someone who Black clearly admires and sees as a potential star. Mysterio had nothing but positive comments about Balor after the match. During the press conference, Balor noted that Bullet Club held two of the most important belts in the company and hinted not so subtly that Gallows and Anderson, both recently returning from a brief stint at Impact!, could be on their way to capturing a third.
Samoa Joe def. Shinsuke Nakamura to win the WWE Intercontinental Championship
FPW rating: 99%
Samoa Joe defeated Shinsuke Nakamura in what many believe to be the best match on the card. The two went for just over a half hour which saw brawling on the outside, near-falls, top-rope spots, and the two attempting their finishers in the closing minutes. Samoa Joe finally locked in the Coquina Clutch that saw Nakamura submit to give Joe his first taste of Intercontinental gold. Nakamura meanwhile never once hit Kinshasa, though he tried multiple times. Though Black has publicly stated that rematches will never be a given, this seems to be a case in which these two might meet later down the line, though not immediately, especially given how well received the match was by the fans and reporters. Samoa Joe was conspicuously absent from the Post-WrestleMania Press Conference and some sources close to this writer have reported that Joe may have to receive X-Rays on his shoulder after a hard bump to the floor. This would be a shame, as the plan seemed to be that AJ Styles would not defend his title in the main event next PPV, and that either Samoa Joe or Paige would take that spot.
Paige def. Alexa Bliss (w/ Nikki Cross) to retain the WWE Women’s World Championship
FPW rating: 96%
Paige retained her title against Alexa Bliss in a match that was way better than it had any right to be considering Paige’s long term injury problems. Of the few this writer spoke to after the show, most of them felt as if this should have been the headliner in retrospect due to match quality and Black’s statements regarding how important the Women’s division is going to be in the future. Alexa Bliss, along with Nikki Cross, declared for the Tag Team division after the loss similarly to Reigns. Paige was present during the press conference and had nothing but positive praise for Bliss. Cross, who was ringside, did not interfere in the match.
AJ Styles def. Roman Reigns to win the WWE World Heavyweight Championship
FPW rating: 94%
In a move that was sure to surprise absolutely nobody, AJ Styles captured the World Heavyweight Championship in the main event of WrestleMania 36 this Sunday night in a match that lasted just over 20 minutes and had plenty of near-falls and exciting spots, though the consensus seems to be that it was a match that could have been a lot better, especially considering it was the main event for the marque show of the year, though following the Intercontinental Championship match was always going to be difficult. Since Black took the reins (no pun intended) of the WWE last October, a push to have AJ Styles as the face of the current company seemed inevitable, though what plans Black has in store for Styles seems odd as the build to this match was put together rather haphazardly. A source close to Black has stated that Roman Reigns is definitely still in contention for the biggest prize in the business but that he is no longer seen as the guy as he once was. Black has not confirmed this in any regards, but has made comments in the past referring to the sheer excess of talent that he has at his disposal and that he intends to utilize as much talent as he can. Figuring that Black does not look fondly on automatic title rematches, it seems unlikely that Roman Reigns will be getting a rematch any time soon, especially when tonight marks the first night that the new win-loss-draw system will go into place (more on that next paragraph). While a championship rematch is certainly out of the questions with several wrestlers jockeying for position for the next bout, the Styles-Reigns rivalry will certainly continue between their respective factions of Bullet Club and The Shield, all of whom were ringside throughout the match, though nobody interfered through ref bumps, low blows, etc… which would go along with Black’s vision of “mostly clean finishes”.
After the match, Styles said in the post-show press conference that he was proud of his accomplishment tonight, but that everyone should expect him to carry this belt for a very long time. Styles didn’t come out and say that Reigns came up short in every way, but that was certainly the implication through his tone. Roman Reigns meanwhile spoke in a post match interview that he wasn’t done with Styles and wouldn’t be for a very long time. Reigns, aflush with anger and disappointment, stated that he would be declaring for the Tag Team Division, which resets his record at 0-0 while it would have been 0-1 were he to stay in single’s competition. Reigns did not mention who his partner would be, though one of his Shield Brothers seems likely. With Seth Rollins defeating Kevin Owens in the opener, Dean Ambrose seems the more likely as Rollins has his sights on Single’s gold.
Post-Match Analysis
Ethan Black was present during the post-show conference, though didn’t have a remarkable amount to say other than that he was proud of everyone that helped but this show together and that all the credit goes to the workers. Black reported that he was incredibly pleased how well this show was put together despite having minimal (or no) build whatsoever, and that it is a great demonstration of how powerful good in-ring work can be. Black mentioned how excited he was for the premier of Saturday Night Main Event in six days, saying that he has “some really big things in the works.” FPW Insider reports that at least one small tournament may be in the works and possibly two.
The average rating of all matches according to FPW was 87%, which is not bad for a Mania show. FPW Insider said after the show that that number is slightly distorted due to the outlier of the Sullivan vs Rush match. Excluding that match, the average would have been 89.5%, which is not much higher than FPW claimed. It is undetermined the exact number of tickets or merchandise sold, but the estimate at this point seems to be somewhere around 79,000 which would have brought in north of $15.3 million. Also undetermined is the amount of new subscribers to the WWE Network (which has been overhauled by Black, though that is another story) as a result of this and the amount of views that this show had. These numbers will be released sometime within the next few weeks as Ethan Black has claimed that he wants to have full transparency as opposed to how these sorts of things have been handled in the past.
FPW Insider is reporting that the next pay-per-view event will be Backlash (though this has not been set in stone) scheduled for April 26th, which would allow for four weekly shows for the build. Black has stated that he does not want every championship to be defended every show, so there is a very real possibility of seeing either Paige, Balor, The Usos, or Joe defend in the main event slot which would be another massive change for the company.
Final List of Champions
WWE World Heavyweight Champion: AJ Styles
WWE World Women’s Champion: Paige
WWE World Jr. Heavyweight Champion: Finn Balor
WWE World Tag Team Champions: Jimmy Use and Jey Uso (The Usos)
WWE Women’s World Tag Team Champions: Ruby Riott and Liv Morgan (Riott Squad)
WWE Intercontinental Champion: Samoa Joe
WWE Women’s Intercontinental Champion: Io Shirai
WWE United States Champion: Ricochet
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2020.10.15 16:33 SpoiledMTVMod 💣🌋 S36 Official Elimination Megathread - SPOILERS! 💣🌋

We've created this Elimination Thread #2 to re-start the clock on when Reddit will lock the comments on us (happens after 6 months), and to give us a backup file if any funny glitches strike again. Elimination Thread #1 is archived at this link if you want to check out earlier discussion as leaks were happening.

HIT THE BACK BUTTON ON YOUR BROWSER NOW IF YOU WISH TO REMAIN UNSPOILED ON THE RESULTS OF THE STILL UN-AIRED SEASON 36!

💣SPOILER ALERT!🌋

This is the official Elimination Thread for season 36 - updates will follow.
All spoilers are thanks to Pink Rose and her team at Vevmo!
Updated as of: ~8:45 PM EDT October 24
(Newest updates are listed first)
FINAL CAST LIST:
WOMEN:
Amber Borzotra (Big Brother 16) - Debut 🔴💀
Kaycee Clarke (Big Brother 20) - 2nd season
Kam Williams (AYTO? 5) - 5th Season 🔴💀
Nany Gonzalez (Real World: Las Vegas 2) - 10th season 🔴💀
Theresa Gonzalez Jones (Fresh Meat 2) - 7th season
Tula "Big T" Fazakerley (Shipwrecked UK) - 3rd season
Aneesa Ferreira (Real World: Chicago) - 14th season
Amber Martinez (Are You The One? 8) - Debut
Ashley Mitchell (Real World: Explosion) - 8th season
Gabby Allen (Love Island UK & Celebrity Big Brother) - Debut
Lolo Jones (Olympian/Dancing with the stars/The Challenge Champs vs Pros/Celebrity Big Brother) - Debut
Natalie Anderson (The Amazing Race 21/24 and Survivor 29/40) - Debut
Nicole Zanatta (Real World: Skeleton) - 3rd season
Liv Jawando (Shipwrecked UK) - Debut
Tori Deal (Are You The One? 4) - 5th season
MEN:
Christopher "CT" Tamburello (Real World: Paris) - 103rd season 🔴💀
Cory Wharton (Real World: Explosion) - 8th season 🔴💀
Fessy Shafaat (Big Brother 20) - 2nd season 🔴💀
Kyle Christie (Geordie Shore) - 6th season 🔴💀
Leroy Garrett (Real World: Las Vegas 2) - 12th season 🔴💀
Darrell Taylor (Road Rules: Campus Crawl) - 9th season
Demetrius "Mechie" Harris (Ex on the Beach 3) - Debut
Devin Walker (Are You The One? 3) - 5th season
Joseph Allen (American Got Talent 14) - Debut
Josh Martinez (Big Brother 19) - 4th season
Jay Starret (Survivor: Millennials vs. Gen X) - 2nd season
Nam Vo (Ultimate BeastMaster Netflix) - Debut
Nelson Thomas (Are You The One? 3) - 7th season
Wes Bergmann (Real World: Austin) - 14th season
FORMAT DETAILS:
15 pairs of 1 man/1 woman. Each round, the pair sends a man or woman into elimination, and the house votes in another man or woman. The two men or women go into elimination; winner gets a red skull and gets to choose their partner of anyone left. The man or woman left without a partner becomes the rogue agent.
u/dirtyagents made an incredible spreadsheet with all the format updates and possibilities. Bake them some cookies. Sing them a song.
TEAMS AT THE START OF THE SEASON:
Natalie/Wes
Ashley/CT
Kaycee/Leroy
Kam/Josh
Lolo/Nam
Amber B./Darrell
Theresa/Jay
Nicole Z./Devin
Nany/Kyle
Gabby/Lio
Tori/Cory
Liv/Mechie
Aneesa/Fessy
Amber M./Nelson
Big T/Joseph
NOTE: At some point early on, CT and Big T become a pair.

Female Elimination Matchups

Eliminated Eliminated By Elimination game
Ashley Natalie Hog Tie
Nicole Injured N/A
Liv DQ/Injured N/A
Tori Aneesa Unknown
Natalie Quit (Family emergency) N/A
Ashley Kam Unknown
Amber M. Amber B. Hall Brawl
Lolo Jones DQ (Removed, see below) N/A
Gabby Nany "O Ring" or similar
Aneesa Big T Unknown
Big T Unknown Unknown

Male Elimination Matchups

Eliminated Eliminated By Elimination game
Joseph Kyle Unknown
Wes Devin Reverse Tug of War
Nelson Fessy Hall Brawl
Lio Quit N/A
Mechie Josh Unknown, Puzzle
Jay Leroy Unknown
Josh CT Unknown
Devin Darrell Unknown
Nam Unknown Unknown
Darrell Cory Reverse Tug of War
Miscellaneous PinkRose updates:
Note from the moderators:
"Let me clear this up Lolo didn't quit no idea if that's how is going to be shown. She was removed from the house by production over something she said that to my understanding that involved her mental health so it's not appropriate for me to say it just like the Natalie stuff I will let them address it once it airs,"
and later,
"I can see the 3 parties involved : MTV, BMP and Lolo agreeing to making it seem like a "Quit" but if they do that I know for a fact that's NOT what it actually happened. Its a very touchy situation so it would be interesting to see how they handle it."
For reference, that discussion begins on Vevmo here.
submitted by SpoiledMTVMod to MtvChallenge [link] [comments]


2020.10.15 01:53 lolpolice88 Debbie Ngarewa-Packer: Taking on the world from Pātea

https://e-tangata.co.nz/korero/debbie-ngarewa-packer-taking-on-the-world-from-patea/
" by Dale Husband
If she chose to, Debbie Ngarewa-Packer could compile a CV that few could match for variety. She could list Poi E for instance, not that she’s old enough (or good enough, she says) to have been one of the pioneer performers. She’s becoming an old hand at court battles in an effort (successful so far) to protect Taranaki’s ironsands from one of the big overseas mining companies, she’s done university studies in Tasmania and California, and she’s now a co-leader, along with John Tamihere of the Māori Party. And that’s not nearly the half of it, as you can see in this chat with Dale.
Kia ora, Debbie. You’re from one of the many Taranaki families who, no doubt, still harbour bitter memories of what went on at Parihaka well over 100 years ago. There were, I understand, more than 400 of your people shipped to the South Island and imprisoned, mostly in Dunedin, for daring to try to hold on to their land.
Yes. I definitely carry a deep sadness over that. Yet I’m acutely aware of how resilient we’ve been, too. Many of my ancestors had passed away 10 years earlier when the Crown started evicting and arresting our tane in South Taranaki.
They were referred to as Pakakohi prisoners, and 74 of them were shipped to Dunedin in 1869 — to hard labour there and, in many cases, their death.
The records show that they laboured for a total of 22,447 days. They built Māori Road and significantly widened Anderson’s Bay Road in Dunedin. And, especially because so many of our koroua never returned, it’s fair to say that there’s entrenched in us a deep sense of what is right and what is wrong.
My koko, Ueroa Hohepa Ngarewa, who was born in 1901, was one of the first surviving mokopuna born after those terrible experiences down south in Otago. His father, Hohepa Ngarewa Tumahuki (known also as Hohepa Ngarewa), was one of the 16-year-olds taken down there with his dad and uncles and many of his koroua. And they perished there.
But Hohepa survived and came back up to Parihaka, which is where a lot of our whānau had gone. Then, 10 years after he’d been taken south as a prisoner, they were persecuted again for passively resisting land confiscations at Parihaka — and he was fortunate to survive that.
He married a wāhine, Apakura Pikirapu, then lost her and some of their children because of the influenza epidemic in the 1890s. They’re in a mass grave near our marae. He remarried Waitohu Rangihaeata and was gifted with three tamariki. One of them became my koro.
That’s a common sort of story for our whānau. We used to wonder why our men were so spoilt and pandered to, but it’s because we didn’t have many surviving tāne after the muru raupatu (land confiscation), the imprisonments and deaths. I often used to tease my brothers and male cousins about being mummy’s and aunties’ boys. But that was the reason.
We didn’t have many tāne within our hapū or whānau who went to war later on because many of our males were still young and absolutely protected. My father came very much from that culture.
📷
Debbie and her mum, Colleen.
And what can you tell us about your mum?
Well, my dad was Hemi Ngarewa and he met this fiery Irish redhead, Colleen Cleasby, when she was 16. She was the first non-Māori to marry into our whānau. Most of the relationships earlier were pre-arranged. But not this one. Mum married Dad and they lived in Pātea with our Koko. And she eventually became a much better reo speaker than Dad.
She had me at 17 and then my two brothers and a younger sister. We were raised in an extended whānau in Pātea. All our friends were cousins. We didn’t know anyone outside the whānau. We were a humble family, a freezing-worker family.
Being the oldest child and oldest moko to my Koko, I was sent away to boarding school. Our whānau was committed to an aggressive strategy of getting us educated. There was always a real drive to push us to better ourselves and to look to a future where we weren’t so reliant on jobs like the freezing works.
Mum started out as the cleaner for our local school, but became a teacher aide, then a trained teacher and, finally, a well-loved principal of Pātea Primary School.
It must’ve been tough when the works closed nearly 40 years ago.
Yes. That was in 1983. And our whānau, like so many others, were made redundant. They were frightening times. There was one occasion when I saw my father cry seeing all his whānau, our ringawera whānau, leaving home to find work — and not knowing how he was going to feed his family.
Generations of our family had worked together on the chain, so it was as much a whānau culture as it was a place of work. And, when the works closed, for many, that was the first time that our whānau and households had been broken up since the muru raupatu days. Many of our men then spent a few years lost in MACESS and ACCESS programmes.
Mum decided that Dad needed to go and retrain, so she sorted out his papers and got him into Teachers’ Training College in Palmerston North to train as a teacher. So he became an adult tertiary student and went from being a freezing worker to becoming a Māori teacher at Pātea High School where he was mentored by a much loved rangatira, Haami Prime.
The catalyst for that sort of commitment was our belief that we should keep striving and finding a way to improve the whānau’s wellbeing. Through all of that, my parents worked at the pā, were active in the community and looked after the aunties and uncles — who looked after us. Mum set up Pātea’s first bilingual unit there, too.
And yes, there were tough and uncertain times when the works closed, but our whānau adjusted and, as a community, we endured. Then, in our darkest time with so much going against us, our whānau created Poi E. And that was a new beginning for us.
📷
Debbie’s whānau in front of her house in Pātea, Christmas 2019.
We’ll talk about Poi E in a minute. But what is your situation now?
I live in a three-generational home with my tāne, Neil Packer (who’s of Ngā Ruahine, Ngāti Kuia and Ngāti Apa), our son Pawhare, daughter Hannah, son-in-law Jordan and mokopuna Hekaiaha and River. We’re on tūpuna land that once was confiscated. We have chooks and sheep and an orchard. It’s a simple life — and it’s a full house with lots of love and lots of looking after each other.
Let’s focus on your mum for a moment or two. I’ve got some Irish whakapapa as well, so I have an extra bit of interest in her. She sounds like an amazing person, and I get the impression that you have a good share of her feistiness. But how did she come to be in Taranaki? And then be the first Pākehā to join your whānau?
Mum’s parents had come over from Ireland and they farmed at Paeroa as well as doing some goldmining up that way. Mum’s mother had five daughters, but that marriage ended and, eventually, she left with her new partner and daughters and moved to Manaia, not far from Hāwera and up the coast from Pātea.
Mum, who’s an extremely intelligent woman, always had an affinity for Māori, and must’ve taken a shine to Dad who, so we understand, made a big impression on her as dancer — not that us kids ever saw much evidence of those dancing skills.
Mum helped raise her sisters and was extremely protective of them. But never really took to her stepdad and eventually left Hawera High to start nursing. She was always a battler for what’s right — and she taught us, no matter what, to fight for those “being treated wrong”, to fight for equity and fairness.
She pushed bilingual teaching way before its time. She rejected the stereotypical labels that were put on our community and kids. And she taught us to commit to a kaupapa bigger than ourselves.
So we learned to be activists and to take pressure at a very young age. She once sat with Eva Rickard on a long bus trip and that began a long friendship. Mum had, and still has, this capacity for embracing new ideas and enriching the community with them.
📷
The Pātea Māori Club with Dalvanius.
Now let’s turn to Pātea’s pride and joy. To that wonderful waiata, Poi E. Did you have a part to play in that production?
Oh, heck no. Poi E came out in my sixth form year when I was a boarder at New Plymouth Girls’ High. The Pātea Māori Club had lots of my aunties, like Patricia Ngarewa who’d married Dad’s older brother, Pawhare, a founder of the club. So it was all my aunties, uncles and cousins. And there was Ngoi Pewhairangi, from the East Coast, and Dalvanius — they were the two who composed the song.
When the works closed, some of the whānau had been forced to move over to Waipukurau and Kahungunu territory. But the Pātea Māori Club and Poi E brought everyone back home. It became a reason for our whānau getting together.
They’d all come back after work on Friday for the weekend, be at the pā, and we’d all be home. You’d see aunties and uncles you hadn’t seen for a week or a month. And they’d bring things back, like boxes of fruit from Hawke’s Bay where they’d been working. It was awesome, because I guess we saw that, no matter where we went to work or lived, we were still us.
I’d never make the A-team. They were way too talented for me. Even now, I’m only in the third row if we do it at the pā. I might get kaumātua front-row status one day, but not yet.
But here was our Pātea community split to pieces yet still showing that we could survive and stay connected to the marae and to one another. And that connection wasn’t easy because we had no internet and not everyone had a landline.
We’d been written off. The banks had left Hāwera and Pātea. Businesses had closed down. People had sold up. We showed, though, that we could still endure. And, through all that adversity, our whānau pulled together and came up with an international hit.
As you know, that wasn’t the first major challenge for us as a Māori community. We’d risen from the muru raupatu experience. Risen from the influenza epidemic after World War One. And here we were rising from the freezing works closure. Not just surviving but rising. I am so proud of my whānau and community. And they inspire me to this day.
📷
Hemi and Colleen Ngarewa, Debbie’s parents.
Has there been something special in the community’s ability to bounce back?
I think the critical lever has been our commitment to education and our whānau connection. I come from Pariroa Pā and we have an amazing collection of teachers, principals, managers and kapa haka tutors.
In my school days, it was the whānau pooling their scarce money to get me and others off to boarding school. And when you have that sort of support you feel accountable to your people.
But I found it hard being away from home. I was devastated. I’d never been away from my Koko before. He’d ring me and I’d be crying every night. We’d slept together as moko and koko. And I really missed my whānau and my cousins. So I didn’t want to be away at school in that horrible, dark hostel.
So there was a sacrifice from us all. But, through the sacrifices, we were able to go off and learn, and extend ourselves, make friends, learn about other lifestyles, cultures and then come back home, rejoin our whānau and bring new ideas to our community. Sometimes it’s been as simple as becoming skilled enough to get better money and bring food and better lifestyles to our whānau. It hasn’t been about being flash or flashy.
In your case, Debbie, the search for new ideas hasn’t been restricted to heading off to New Plymouth. You’ve developed this strong sense of social justice — and your journey has meant tertiary studies not only in Tasmania, but also at Stanford University in California.
Well, I realised that, if I was to have a worthwhile influence, I had to extend myself the way our whānau in Pātea had taught us. My own iwi had started Treaty settlement discussions and I was concerned about the Crown’s insincerity and its limited understanding of justice — or its grasp of the intent of Te Tiriti.
I felt I needed to understand what other Indigenous peoples were doing, what other development models were working, how other exploited communities were dealing with their situations.
And Tasmania was appealing because its history with the Palawa Tasmanian Aboriginal peoples has been similar to ours. So the University of Tasmania was an easy decision for me and especially because of certain lecturers they had — even though I was told that it was so little known it was career suicide for me to do an MBA there.
Perhaps it was a risk but I’m happy to take risks — and sometimes I feel it’s necessary to stretch myself. So that’s what I did, even though at the time my youngest son was a three-month-old baby.
Years later, in 2014, the attraction of Stanford University was much different. We could see the technological world was well on its way with its Googles and Apples and so on. Generation Alpha was being born. Our young people were never ever going to do without the internet.
But, here we were, as adults, being asked to lead a generation we barely understood. And here was Stanford, one of the leaders in the digital space, pointing the way to careers and employment and businesses that could mean not having to leave home, that could be set up in their garages.
Studying at Stanford was about becoming familiar with this digital world so that our whānau could become entrepreneurs, so that they could have productive lives and still stay home and be leaders in the community and on the marae.
For me, it was an “everything to gain and nothing to lose” kind of situation. If it didn’t work, well, it’d still be a good lesson. But it just exploded my mind. It created an absolute revolution in my thinking and it’s continued that way.
I’ve carried on taking rangatahi groups back there every year since 2016. And it’s for the same reason. To revolutionise their thinking. If only one of us comes back with an idea, it’s a success. You know, it’s a bit like Kupe, and all our tūpuna — if only one of us comes back with seedlings, then it’s still been a profitable journey.
📷
With Haimona Maruera, Tumu Whakarae of Te Rūnanga o Ngāti Ruanui, outside the Court of Appeal in Wellington. In April, Ngāti Ruanui won their appeal to stop seabed mining off the South Taranaki coast.
Yours has been a good journey, too. But it’s a complex one and there’ve been battles, along the way, with multinational companies over environmental issues — and now you have national politics on your agenda, after teaming up with John Tamihere to lead the Māori Party. And that election is less than four months away. So you have a fair bit on your plate.
The successes we’ve had so far in fighting for the environment and fighting against seabed mining have been critical. It’s a David and Goliath story where the rich extractors with bottomless pockets have been hoping to wear us down . . . wear down our small, grassroots community.
We have the whole community backing us but it still takes a huge toll. And it’s a huge weight on us knowing that we’re the first in Aotearoa to take on this fight. But those who know me are aware that I’m passionate about the environment. So there’ll be no giving up.
I feel the same about the work I do with the rangatahi. That includes an after-school, digital innovation programme that we set up. And also a holiday digital innovation programme. A part of that is a fellowship for a student each year to go to Stanford to learn to take risks and explore the opportunities, and then come back and apply that thinking to our problems — like finding ways to stop our wai being polluted.
They return not just with new ideas but also with the confidence to help solve our problems ourselves, instead of waiting for the answers to come from the government or from strangers who have no vested interest in our welfare.
So this work with the rangatahi is a great privilege and satisfaction for me. And it’s something I’ll probably keep doing until the day I die. Often mainstream systems tell our kids how poorly they’re doing rather than how amazing they are. Some come from pretty tough backgrounds — and I tell you, Dale, this has been the most satisfying, enriching, humbling, privileged bloody job I’ve ever had.
As for the politics, well, I’m not an obvious choice to have a go at that. I’m unknown, I’m grassroots, pretty ordinary really. Pretty much in my trackies most days. But these kids are the reason I get out there and make sure they’re not forgotten. They’re so worth fighting for.
📷
With a rangatahi delegation at Stanford University, August 2019.
I see you’ve had a bit of an apprenticeship in local government.
Yeah. I spent some time on the South Taranaki District Council and as the deputy mayor. I did that because there was no Māori voice on issues affecting our awa, our whenua, our people.
For a start, we got an iwi liaison management position. And, because sewage was leaking into our awa — where our kids were swimming and our people were fishing — we got new sewage ponds, an infrastructure to protect our wai, and some new sporting facilities, to name a few.
I also went into iwi politics and that was because the Crown had landed us with legislation that had set off some of our marae against each other. And the next generation needed to step forward to remind us that we’re all related, to advance our kaupapa — and to bring about kotahitanga for us.
So my generation stepped up to do what our ancestors and kaumātua taught us. That’s to stand together and carry on the battle. And it’s the same kaupapa with the Māori Party. It’s to remind us that we should be united in bringing about equity and justice and partnership, the sharing of power, so that our rangatahi never have to feel prejudice against them or deal with systems that don’t allow them to succeed.
My approach is pretty simple. It’s mana motuhake. It’s being Māori for all Māori. That’s why I chose the Māori Party where we can be Māori and where we don’t have to make excuses or explain things to others who aren’t Māori.
And, on top of that, JT and I get on bloody well.
(This interview has been edited for length and clarity.)"
submitted by lolpolice88 to Maori [link] [comments]


2020.10.14 21:03 mr_tyler_durden Notes and Highlights of Kentucky Governor Andy Beshear’s Live Update October 14, 2020

Notes and Highlights of Kentucky Governor Andy Beshear’s Live Update October 14, 2020
Notes by mr_tyler_durden and Daily Update Team
Check your registration status, ballot status, or how to vote here!
Note: Thank you to the people who have given awards to these posts but I do want to say: Please don’t spend money to give these posts an award or if you want to give then donate it here instead. These people need your help more than I need awards. I guess if you are just spending reddit coins that you already have then that’s fine but don’t spend new money, donate it instead. Thank you all!
Watch here:
Headlines
Full Notes
(continued in stickied comment)
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2020.10.14 20:33 AndyJPuente Biggest 2020 NBA free-agency, draft and trade decisions for the Golden State Warriors:

Source: https://www.espn.com/nba/insidestory/_/id/28953850/biggest-2020-nba-free-agency-draft-trade-decisions-all-30-teams
Offseason focus
Draft assets
Cap space breakdown
Team needs

The options in the lottery

Despite finishing with the worst record in the NBA, Golden State is not guaranteed a top-three pick in 2020. Due to a change in lottery procedure, the Warriors have a 47.9% chance of sliding all the way back to No. 5, with a 12% chance of landing at No. 4.
While we won't know where Golden State will pick until the lottery draw on Aug. 20, let's explore the different options that this front office could face in June.
Keep the pick
ESPN's draft experts Jonathan Givony and Mike Schmitz have shooting guard Anthony Edwards, point guard LaMelo Ball and center James Wiseman as the best available players in this class. Small forwards Isaac Okoro and Deni Avdija round out the top five.
However, unlike in 2019 when Zion Williamson, Ja Morant and RJ Barrett were the consensus first three picks among front offices, the same cannot be said this year. Because there is no clear-cut favorite, teams at the top could be drafting more on need rather than taking the best available prospect.
Because the Warriors face real roster restrictions in free agency, playing the conservative card and just keeping the top-five pick likely will be the best option. A player such as Edwards or Wiseman would make an impact next season and could be the Warriors' lone addition in the offseason.
Move back in the lottery
This is what the Pelicans did last year. Instead of keeping the No. 4 pick, New Orleans found a trade partner in Atlanta that had two picks in the top 16.
The Warriors will need to determine if two picks later in the first round is more appealing than one of the top prospects. Would Golden State swapping No. 2 with No. 4 and No. 16 via Minnesota make sense? What about calling the Knicks to move back to No. 5 in exchange for Dallas' future firsts owed to New York (unprotected in 2021 and top-10 protected in 2023)? Boston also projects to have three picks late in 2020's first round.
A trade like this would give the Warriors two shots at finding a real contributor in the draft, along with additional trade options heading into the 2021 deadline.
Explore the All-Star trade market
Unlike 2018-19, when Anthony Davis asked out of New Orleans before the trade deadline, this season was quiet when it came to disgruntled All-Stars, but things change quickly in the NBA.
Teams are waiting to see if Bradley Beal becomes available in trade talks or if Giannis Antetokounmpo forgoes signing a supermax contract in Milwaukee. There are eyes on the 76ers' roster, especially if they are bounced in the first round. And John Collins is an intriguing target if he can't agree to an extension with the Hawks.
Despite the lottery pick this year and the top-three protected 2021 first-rounder from Minnesota, the Warriors face the obstacle of putting together enough salary to send out in a trade for any of these players. Removing Curry, Thompson and Green leaves Golden State with only the Andrew Wiggins contract to use in a deal (with upcoming annual cap hits of $29.5 million, $31.6 million and $33.6 million).
For a team looking to rebuild, taking on what is owed to Wiggins will only be desirable if the picks attached are stunning.

The timeline of the $17.2 million trade exception

The Warriors will have an additional three months from the original July 7 deadline to use the largest trade exception in the NBA. The new, projected Oct. 24 date is a result of free agency starting on Oct. 18. How the Warriors use the exception will come down to team finances.
On top of the salary owed to a player who is acquired using the exception, Golden State will pay a substantial luxury tax penalty. Based on the original $139 million luxury tax projection, Golden State's tax penalty stands at $45 million. If the tax threshold drops to $132.7 million, an extra $24 million is added.
In any scenario, using any amount of the $17.2 million trade exception is going to be expensive. Trading for a player making $4 million would add $15 million to $17 million onto the tax bill (depending on the tax line), while a $16 million player would mean an additional $69 million to $79 million in tax payments.
The actual trade mechanics of the exception are also tricky. The exception cannot be aggregated with another player's salary to take back more than the $17.2 million amount, limiting the pool of players Golden State can trade for.

The Steph Curry extension

Three years removed from signing the first $200 million contract in league history, Curry is now eligible for an extension. With two years left on Curry's contract (at $43 million and $45.8 million), Golden State can extend the guard for an additional three seasons starting in 2022-23.
Here is what a max extension for the two-time MVP would look like:
Even for a franchise player, those are huge numbers as a player enters his mid-30s. The Warriors will need to make sure they're confident in this roster long term and in Curry's health before extending such an offer.

Offseason cap breakdown

After dipping below the luxury tax this season, Golden State will become a taxpayer in 2020-21. The good news is that because the Warriors are not considered a repeater team, the penalty currently projects to be $36 million -- $15 million less than if they had also been in the tax this past season.
Golden State will have the $5.7 million taxpayer midlevel and minimum exceptions available.

Resources available to build the roster

Dates to watch

• The main date to watch is not until mid-October, when the contract of Marquese Chriss becomes fully guaranteed. Chriss has $800,000 protected and would see the remaining balance of $1 million guaranteed if he is not waived by Nov. 1. On his fourth team in as many years, Chriss averaged a career high in points (9.2), field goal percentage (54.2%), rebounds (6.0), assists (1.8) and blocked shots (1.0). Because the Warriors have little flexibility to add in free agency and the former lottery pick has played well, expect Chriss to be on the roster for next season.
Ky Bowman (no protection), Damion Lee ($600,000 guaranteed) and Juan Toscano-Anderson (no protection) do not have trigger dates in their non-guaranteed contracts. Mychal Mulder will see his protection increase from $0 to $200,000 if the guard is on the opening day roster. Bowman, Mulder and Toscano-Anderson are holding down the back end of the roster and could be cut if Golden State retains both second-round picks or adds veterans in free agency on minimums.

Restrictions

• The hard-cap restriction that weighed on the Warriors this season is not lifted until Oct. 19. However, the trades at the 2020 deadline gave Golden State a $6.9 million buffer to take back money in deals.
• The Warriors have used all their available cash in trades for this season. However, they can agree to a deal on the night of the draft to buy a second-round pick and not consummate it until Oct. 23, when their available cash will be replenished to $5.9 million
• The three core players -- Curry, Green and Thompson -- have 15% trade bonuses. The bonuses for Thompson and Curry would be voided because their salaries would exceed the max. The Green bonus would be valued at a total of $10.8 million over the remaining three years on his contract.

Extension candidates

Curry and Wiggins are the two extension-eligible Warriors. Starting on Oct. 1, Golden is allowed to extend Wiggins for an additional two seasons on top of the three he has left on his deal. But it's highly unlikely that Golden State will want to commit to Wiggins through 2024-25 without seeing more from him, and a new contract would put a six-month trade restriction on the forward.
The deadline to extend Curry and Wiggins is Nov. 30.

The draft assets

Here's how ESPN's Givony and Schmitz have Golden State selecting in October:
The Warriors own a valuable first-rounder via Minnesota that is top-three protected in 2021 and becomes unprotected in 2022. From the Andre Iguodala trade in 2019, Golden State will send the Grizzlies a top-four protected first-rounder in 2024. The pick is top-one protected in 2025 and unprotected in 2026.
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2020.10.14 08:48 shallowblue Every player rated (from the Herald-Sun)

Every Collingwood player rated for 2020: Contracts, trade whispers and players to watch in 2021
Nick Wade, News Corp Australia Sports Newsroom
October 14, 2020 6:00am
Subscriber only

Collingwood has been urged to be “aggressive” with its list to stem a slide down the ladder after its semi-final horror show.
The Pies are expected to be active in this year’s trade period as they also juggle a number of list headaches, headlined by the contract demands of Jordan De Goey.
After narrowly losing the 2018 Grand Final, Collingwood slipped to a preliminary final loss last year and a semi-final whitewash this year.
“After seeing the way their season has come to an end, they have to be aggressive with their list,” Essendon champion Matthew Lloyd said on Footy Classified.
Mystery: Pies’ case of the missing grope
On the issue of paying De Goey upwards of $1 million a season, former Melbourne forward Garry Lyon on SEN said: “I wouldn’t pay a million bucks for him (per season), but someone will pay $800,000 (per season). Because when he did come back, he turned a game on its head on his own. Not many players can do that.”
Does wingman Tom Phillips look for a new home? Will Matthew Scharenberg get back home to South Australia? Should Brayden Sier test the market?
Let’s assess every player.
EVERY PLAYER RATED
1. JAIDYN STEPHENSON
Age: 21 Games: 54 Contract: Until end of 2021
Started the season well with seven goals in his first three games, but appears a shell of the emerging star who won the 2018 Rising Star Award as a key part of the Pies’ Grand Final push. Is contracted for next season, but regressed to the fringe of senior selection in the back half of the year. Is a fresh start at a rival club needed, or does he simply need a strong pre-season at Collingwood to recalibrate as he enters a defining year? Still took the second-most marks inside 50 for the Pies this year, but had only three touches and a tackle in the semi-final hiding against Geelong. No doubt has the talent, it’s just deserted him at the moment.
2. JORDAN DE GOEY
Age: 24 Games: 98 Contract: Out of contract
Intriguing situation. The Pies suggest he is on the lookout for the biggest deal possible – more than the reported $800,000 he is on at Collingwood. But will another club be forthcoming as he explores the market? Carlton was said to be in, now apparently out. Essendon is also linked. With a host of other top-end signings placing pressure on their salary cap, the Pies can only pay so much for a player who has undoubted talent but whose top finish in a best-and-fairest is eighth. He is also facing an indecent assault charge and is due to appear in court on October 30. A nasty finger injury kept him out for two months this year, but the question clubs will ask is whether his 2020 output – down on his dazzling 2018 brilliance – warrants such a price tag. No doubt a matchwinner who, at 24, is still yet to enter the prime of his career and can do things others can’t. De Goey knocked back a $5 million offer from North Melbourne in 2017, but may not be prepared to sacrifice as much cash this time. A fascinating watch-this-space.
3. ISAAC QUAYNOR
Age: 20 Games: 15 Contract: Until end of 2022
One of the success stories of the season for Collingwood, having become a mainstay of the Magpies line-up after forcing his way into the side in Round 6. The 20-year-old defender received a Rising Star nomination and regularly provided reliable defensive rebound for the Pies. His disposal efficiency of 85.1 was the best of any Pies player who played more than five games. Missed a few matches with a nasty gash in his leg against Sydney but returned without any issue. Will be someone Collingwood will look to next season for natural improvement.
4. BRODIE GRUNDY
Age: 26 Games: 151 Contract: Until end of 2027
Didn’t have the season he would have liked and Nathan Buckley shed some frank insights into why after Saturday night’s semi-final loss. Grundy went from All-Australian in 2018-19 to not even making the squad this year, reflected by a drop in his most of his statistical averages, including key areas relating to disposals, hit-outs and clearances. He also slipped to sixth on the AFL Player Ratings ranking of ruckmen, despite playing all 19 games. “Brodes is a guy who loves the game and loves footy, but he also loves to get away from it,” Buckley said. “When you’re in a hub, it’s been a little more difficult for him to do that.”
5. JAMIE ELLIOTT
Age: 28 Games: 123 Contract: Until end of 2021
The fit-again Elliott was one of the Pies’ most durable players this season, and became a key part of the club’s finals push. Having battled injuries in recent years, he found valuable consistency and a new lease on his career, playing 18 games while spending more time in the midfield. Where his game was measured on goals in the past, this year it was built around midfield impact. Even still, he applied the most tackles inside 50 for the Pies. Last year he spent just 2 per cent in the midfield, but upped that to 37 per cent this year. At just 28, and provided his body stays fit, he still has a couple of valuable years left for the Pies.
Jamie Elliott in the clear in the semi-final against Geelong. Picture: Michael Klein
6. TYLER BROWN
Age: 21 Games: 9 Contract: Until end of 2022
A breakthrough year after making his debut in his third season on the list. He played nine matches split across two stints in the side, but was dropped for the finals series. As he develops, the Pies will hope the rangy midfielder can add a bit more size to his frame as he looks to entrench himself in the starting 22 next season.
7. ADAM TRELOAR
Age: 27 Games: 173 Contract: Until end of 2025
Treloar’s management is adamant he will remain at Collingwood despite his partner, Kim Ravaillion, signing a 10-month contract to play netball with the Queensland Firebirds next year. The situation unsurprisingly piqued Gold Coast’s interest – and the Suns could offer its No 5 selection to the Pies to entice a trade – but the midfielder is said to be committed to seeing out his long-term deal at Collingwood. All parties at this stage are indicating Treloar will stay at Collingwood and will make the long-distance situation work. Treloar battled more hamstring issues this year but his form was otherwise very strong across his 10 matches.
8. TOM LANGDON
Age: 26 Games: 89 Contract: Until end of 2021
Remains contracted after signing a three-year deal at the end of 2018, but faces an uncertain future after his injury-prone body again failed him this season. Langdon was pushing to be available late in the season, but suffered a setback with an ongoing knee injury. The Pies rate his character and he played 23 games in their 2018 Grand Final campaign, but will they see the best of the 26-year-old again after he hasn’t played since Round 9, 2019? In one recent training session at Maroochydore, coach Nathan Buckley walked many laps in deep conversation with Langdon.
9. JOHN NOBLE
Age: 23 Games: 22 Contract: Until end of 2021
A successful product of the mid-season draft, Noble has quickly become part of the furniture of Collingwood’s defence. The Pies have benefited from his pace, often looking to get the footy into his hands to launch from the back half. Played 17 matches this season and has the confidence of someone who looks set to be a key part of the side into the future. His two-year deal expires next year, but there should be no worries about him getting a fresh offer.
10. SCOTT PENDLEBURY
Age: 32 Games: 316 Contract: Until end of 2021
Created Collingwood history this season by overtaking Tony Shaw on the club’s all-time games record list. Shaw, himself, paid Pendlebury the ultimate compliment by saying he could play for a number of seasons yet. Missed a chunk of games in the middle of the season through injury but still clocked 20+ possessions in 11 of his 15 games and led the Pies for goal assists.
11. DAYNE BEAMS
Age: 30 Games: 177 Contract: Until end of 2022
Beams has not played since Round 11 last season after stepping away from the game to deal with his mental health. He was involved in a car crash earlier this year that he later admitted was a “deliberate” and a “massive cry for help”. Collingwood has continued to offer off-field support and there appears an acceptance he is unlikely to play again. Collingwood and Beams will discuss his future in the coming weeks.
12. MATTHEW SCHARENBERG
Age: 25 Games: 41 Contract: Out of contract
Scharenberg is expected to explore his options, potentially even a return to South Australia, after falling out of selection favour this season. The former No. 6 draft pick played only three matches in 2020, with his most recent being in Round 8 when the Magpies were thrashed by West Coast. Adelaide might see potential in bringing in Scharenberg to help bolster its backline.
13. TAYLOR ADAMS
Age: 26 Games: 151 Contract: Until the end of 2024
In a season of widespread disruption, Copeland Trophy winner Adams was a constant presence who defied it all. He made the All-Australian team for the first time in his career and played every match in his best-ever season, helping drive a midfield that was at times without Steele Sidebottom and Scott Pendlebury. An on-ball general, he had 20 more clearances than the next-best teammate (Pendlebury), was the club’s leading ball-winner, applied the most pressure, was involved in the most score involvements and had the most contested possessions. One of their few better players against Geelong in the dismal semi-final, too.
14. DARCY CAMERON
Age: 25 Games: 11 Contract: Until the end of 2021
Played 10 games this season in his first year at the club after crossing from Sydney and is clearly in the Pies’ plans after he played both finals despite not playing for the previous month. His support role to Grundy allowed Collingwood to work over Nic Naitanui in the elimination final. At one point in the season he was keeping Mason Cox out of the side. A handy acquisition.
15. LYNDEN DUNN
Age: 33 Games: 198 Contract: Out of contract
The much-liked Dunn has decided to retire having played only two matches this season after earning a career reprieve 12 months ago. He was delisted at the end of last year by Collingwood but relisted as backup, earning back-to-back games in Rounds 11-12 after not playing at all in 2019 with knee issues. He continued to train with the main squad until the Pies were knocked out of the finals. Squeezed everything out of his body after starting at Melbourne in 2006.
16. CHRIS MAYNE
Age: 31 Games: 231 Contract: Until end of 2021
Mayne returned from a sickening facial fracture to play in both of Collingwood’s finals this season. Since joining the Pies in 2017, he hasn’t missed a final, showing his value to the side at the pointy end of the season. After the broken cheekbone incident, coach Nathan Buckley described how highly Collingwood rated Mayne. “The bloke continues to put his body on the line. His teammates love him and he’s not in a good way. He’s a sore boy. He’s done it in every one of his actions since he’s come to the club.” Signed a one-year extension at the start of the year to take him into 2021.
17. CALLUM BROWN
Age: 22 Games: 49 Contract: Until end of 2022
Had a breakout 2019 but could not quite reach the same heights this season, despite playing the bulk of the year. Suffered an ankle injury but was then dropped on the eve of the finals and couldn’t force his way back in.
18. TRAVIS VARCOE
Age: 32 Games: 230 Contract: Retired
Varcoe has retired after being a wonderful servant for the Pies since crossing from Geelong midway through his career. Varcoe joined Collingwood in 2015 as part of a three-way trade and played 92 games for the Magpies. The Pies were the winners of that deal where Heritier Lumumba went to Melbourne and Mitch Clark joined Geelong. Varcoe played nine matches this year in an injury-interrupted campaign before being squeezed out of the team at the end of the year. A two-time premiership player at Geelong (2009, 2011), Varcoe also provided many happy memories for Pies fans in finals.
19. LEVI GREENWOOD
Age: 31 Games: 158 Contract: Out of contract
Comes out of contract but the early indications are the Magpies want to offer him a one-year deal to take him into next season. Greenwood played the last six matches of the season – including both finals – after recovering from a torn ACL suffered in last year’s finals series. His ability to still negate an opponent (most recently Tim Kelly in the elimination final) and his strong recovery from knee surgery gives hope that he still has a role to play at Collingwood next season.
20. BEN REID
Age: 31 Games: 152 Contract: Retired
Suffered an injury setback on the eve of the finals and made the call to bring forward his retirement, effective immediately, after managing only two games this year. Reid was a dominant defender for the Pies between 2010-13 in particular, playing in the 2010 flag and making All-Australian in 2011. But soft-tissue injuries often hampered him during the second half of his career.
21. TOM PHILLIPS
Age: 24 Games: 89 Contract: Until end of 2021
Could be one to watch from a trade perspective. Got injured at the wrong time of the season and was then overlooked for selection as Collingwood went unchanged into its semi-final against Geelong. Phillips had otherwise been a regular in the side, having not missed a game between 2018-19 and played the first 15 games this year before injuring his hamstring. Josh Daicos appears to have jumped ahead of him now. He was available to play against the Cats but the Pies opted to keep him out. Rival clubs circled Phillips last year. Perhaps they will again.
22. STEELE SIDEBOTTOM
Age: 29 Games: 243 Contract: Until the end of 2021
The bumper five-year contract he signed in 2016 expires at the end of next season. It was a mixed season for Sidebottom. He copped a four-match ban for a breach of the AFL’s COVID protocols in late June, but returned to play some solid footy before leaving the club’s hub to return home for the birth of his child. The Pies tried to get Sidebottom back up to Queensland on the eve of the finals but the plan hit roadblocks and was abandoned.
23. JORDAN ROUGHEAD
Age: 29 Games: 179 Contract: Until end of 2022
Roughead had a solid year across 17 games but coach Nathan Buckley conceded after the semi-final that the key defender was among a number of players who were not suited to the 24/7 nature of the footy hub bubble, more preferring their space and work-life balance. He has been an elite find for the Pies since crossing from the Western Bulldogs, so there’s no worries there in terms of his future.
24. JOSH THOMAS
Age: 29 Games: 103 Contract: Until end of 2021
The small forward did not have the impact he would have liked this year across 14 games, kicking four goals and only averaging a tick over 10 possessions a match. His tackle numbers were down, too, on the level he normally applies. Contracted for next season but could there be some movement in the coming weeks?
25. JACK CRISP
Age: 27 Games: 153 Contract: Until end of 2023
Crisp was one of the positive stories of the season for Collingwood, finishing second in Champion Data’s rankings of “general” defenders in the AFL for the year. It came on the back of a third placing in last year’s Copeland Trophy. Crisp played all 19 games and showed a high level of consistency. He finished the season in top form and was one of only a couple of Pies players who could hold their head high after the semi-final loss to Geelong. Entering the prime of his career, if he’s not there already.
26. JOSH DAICOS
Age: 21 Games: 35 Contract: Out of contract
Yet to sign but seems destined to stay at Collingwood next year and beyond. Daicos’s stocks grew rapidly this year, emerging into a dynamic ball-user on the wing, coupled with some of the freakish goalscoring ability of his famous father. He played 18 games at a high level this year, after playing only five last year and 10 the year before. Daicos also made the AFLPA’s 22Under22 team of the year. His form will likely come with a little pay rise, which will only add to the complex list-management decisions currently facing the club, but one the Pies would surely make room to accommodate.
Josh Daicos is a talent on the rise.
27. WILL KELLY
Age: 20 Games: 1 Contract: End of 2022
The father-son prospect will be hoping for better luck next year after suffering a season-ending arm injury on debut this year. The promising forward kicked a goal and looked lively against Hawthorn in July but landed awkwardly and did not return this season. If fit next year, he will put pressure on Mason Cox in the forward line.
28. NATHAN MURPHY
Age: 20 Games: 2 Contract: End of 2022
Been a frustrating couple of years for the highly-rated Murphy. Made his AFL debut late in 2018; had his 2019 derailed by injury and just could not force his way into a settled backline this year. There are no concerns about where the Pies view him in their future, having re-signed as recently as March for an additional two years. “The future is theirs to write but right now Cal (Brown), Tyler (Brown) and Nathan are seen as important to what is next for Collingwood,” Magpie list manager, Ned Guy, said at the time.
29. TIM BROOMHEAD
Age: 26 Games: 37 Contract: Out of contract
Played only one match this year – Round 11 against Adelaide – in what was his first game in more than two years since breaking his leg in a collision with a goalpost against GWS in early 2018. Broomhead has unfortunately battled injury issues all his career. The Pies face the tough decision of how much longer they can keep the talented but often-sidelined forward on the list.
30. DARCY MOORE
Age: 24 Games: 89 Contract: Out of contract
One of the best defenders in the game and one of the most important signatures Collingwood has secured this off-season. Moore was out of contract but re-signed with the Magpies on Tuesday after another brilliant season in which he made the All-Australian side. He led the Pies for defensive one-on-one wins (61) and missed only one match. When last quizzed publicly about his contract status in August, Moore declared he “absolutely” wanted to stay at Collingwood.
31. FLYNN APPLEBY
Age: 21 Games: 11 Contract: Out of contract
Didn’t have much luck on the injury front this year. Had a delayed start to the season with an ankle injury and then suffered a hamstring setback late in the campaign. It leaves him facing an uncertain future, having played only one match in each of the past two seasons after nine in his debut 2018 campaign.
32. WILL HOSKIN-ELLIOTT
Age: 27 Games: 137 Contract: Until end of 2022
Quieter year by his standards, not having quite the impact of past seasons in the front half of the ground, especially on the scoreboard. The key to Collingwood challenging again next season will be for Hoskin-Elliott to find the potency of his 2018 season in which he kicked 42 goals, offered greater pressure and generally found more of the footy.
33. RUPERT WILLS
Age: 27 Games: 23 Contract: Out of contract
Just like last year, Wills enters the off-season without his future sorted. Played all his eight matches this season before Round 12, but never quite grabbed his opportunity and was pushed out after the Pies were thrashed by Melbourne. The midfielder was made to wait until well after the season last year to receive his 2020 contract – even despite playing the last six matches of the 2019 season, including two finals. It appears the Pies will make him sweat again as they assess their list heading into 2021.
34. TRENT BIANCO
Age: 19 Games: 0 Contract: Until end of 2021
The small defender is still waiting for his debut after landing at the club at pick 45 in last year’s draft. Fans would have been hoping to see him at some stage this year after his impressive performance in a pre-season scratch match against Carlton where he played well across halfback. But that debut will have to wait until at least next year.
35. JAY RANTALL
Age: 19 Games: 0 Contract: Until end of 2021
The inside midfielder, taken at pick 40 in last year’s national draft from South Warrnambool, is yet to make his AFL debut, but showed enough promise in the early scratch matches to give hope that he was in contention to replace Scott Pendlebury when the Pies skipper injured his quad before the West Coast match. Would be looking to make his debut next year.
36. BRAYDEN SIER
Age: 22 Games: 21 Contract: Until end of 2021
Injuries put the brakes on Sier’s ability to push into the line-up, but he would have hoped for more than three games this year. A quad setback against Adelaide in Round 11 effectively kept him sidelined until the eve of finals. By the time he was fit, he couldn’t get back into the side. Sier has plenty of upside, but if he can’t get regular game time ongoing at Collingwood, surely there would be a suitor out there looking for a strong-bodied midfielder with inside grunt. There would be a few teams who wouldn’t mind him.
37. BRAYDEN MAYNARD
Age: 24 Games: 116 Contract: Until end of 2022
Maynard had the best season of his career, playing all 19 matches to a brilliant level down back that earned him selection in the All-Australian squad. Having elevated himself into the top bracket of defenders with his safe hands and pinpoint left foot. Leading the Pies for rebound-50s (72), intercept possessions (118) and total metres gained (7368), he was probably unlucky to not make the final AA team.
38. JEREMY HOWE
Age: 30 Games: 187 Contract: Until end of 2021
Collingwood was rock solid in defence most of the year – just imagine if they had Howe too. Even without Howe, the Pies ranked among the best defences in the league, but they missed his intercepting prowess and his organisation – and that ultimately hurt their ability to rebound. Howe ruptured his PCL in June and fell short in his bid to return for the finals. He would have been particularly handy against a Geelong side that just punctured holes in the Collingwood backline in the semi-final. In the smallest of sample sizes (just four matches), he was already looking worthy of an All-Australian defender.
39. TREY RUSCOE
Age: 18 Games: 4 Contract: Until end of 2021
Ruscoe played four matches between Rounds 10-13, showing lively promise in attack and hitting the scoreboard with 5.4 in those games despite playing not even 70 per cent game time. He proved quite a handy choice at pick 55 in last year’s draft. But we’re not sure who attracted the main headlines this year: Ruscoe or his mum! The draftee made his debut in Round 10 against Sydney, but his mum missed his first goal after admitting she ducked out the back of the house for a quick smoke.
40. ATU BOSENAVULAGI
Age: 20 Games: 3 Contract: Out of contract
Got of taste of AFL life this year as one of a host of debutants for the Pies, providing a spark across half forward in his three games between Rounds 6-8. The Fiji-born Bosenavulagi joined the Pies at the end of the 2018 season as part of the Next Generation Academy.
41. BRODY MIHOCEK
Age: 27 Games: 58 Contract: Out of contract
Mihocek apparently has a three-year deal on the table from Collingwood but the sticking point appears to be the dollar figure attached to it. Mihocek did his claims for a pay rise no harm with a timely three-goal effort against West Coast in the elimination final thriller. Mihocek has kicked 90 goals in his 58 games across three seasons. It is an important contract for Mihocek given, at 27, it will likely be his best chance to cash in on his output. Mihocek is jostling with the likes of uncontracted teammates Jordan De Goey, Darcy Moore and Josh Daicos for every spare dollar in the Pies’ salary cap over the coming weeks. If he is squeezed out, there will be a club willing to add someone who consistently hits the scoreboard. No doubt they have already been in touch.
  1. ANTON TOHILL
Age: 20 Games: 0 Contract: Out of contract
A tough year to be coming out of contract for the Irish recruit. Tohill returned home during the initial COVID shutdown period before returning. Tohill showed some promise as a utility in the VFL last year, kicking seven goals in 12 games, but could not crack a senior game this season. He has plenty of interests outside of football, including dreams of a medical career, but in January made it clear footy was his immediate priority: “I’m not an experiment. I want to play AFL football, it’s why I’m here.”
44. JACK MADGEN
Age: 27 Games: 21 Contract: Out of contract
Played 13 matches this year, including the two finals, which should be enough to secure a new contract at the Pies. Didn’t have a huge finals series but it was clearly the defender’s best season. He took strides this year, when you consider that in both 2018 and 2019 he finished the home-and-away season in the side but was dropped both years for finals.
45. MAX LYNCH
Age: 22 Games: 1 Contract: Out of contract
It was a long time coming, but Max Lynch received reward for effort and perseverance when the developing 200cm ruckman made his AFL debut against Brisbane last month. It had been a long build from being the 51st player selected in the rookie draft at the end of 2016 from the Murray Bushrangers. His form had been solid in scratch matches all season but the Pies’ big man stocks had kept him on the outer of selection.
46. MASON COX
Age: 29 Games: 69 Contract: Until end of 2021 after hitting contract trigger
Revived his career in the back end of the season after appearing on the brink midway through the year when he had issues with his vision and lost his spot in the team. He was recalled in Round 13 and found his spark, hitting a trigger clause for a new contract in the process. Cox took the most contested marks for Collingwood this year (23). But still, do he or the Pies explore a move? He was the hero of the elimination final against West Coast with three goals but, like many of his teammates, was missing against the Cats. Will be battling for his spot next year with Will Kelly, who suffered a nasty injury on debut and sat out the season.
47. MARK KEANE
Age: 20 Games: 1 Contract: Out of contract
Broke through for his AFL debut this year, picking up seven disposals in the Round 9 clash with Fremantle. But it was his only AFL match of the season. Keane, a 194cm defender, joined the Pies as a Category B rookie from Ireland ahead of the 2019 season. Keane was probably unlucky not to make his debut in 2019 – his intercept work stood out – and showed promising form in a pre-season game against Richmond this year. Yet to get a contract for next season.
48. TOM WILSON
Age: 23 Games: 0 Contract: Until end of 2021
The former Australian basketballer is yet to play a game, spending his first season at the club developing in training and scratch matches. The midfielder showed promising signs in a scrimmage hitout against Carlton, kicking three goals including a snap from about 40m out. The Pies rate his athleticism and adaptability. Captain Scott Pendlebury took him under his wing for early-morning workouts over summer.
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2020.10.10 20:03 Nileppezdell [WON] The current "lack of relationship" between AEW and New Japan.

A series of things that have taken place over the past two weeks, from Harold Meij being out as the President and CEO of New Japan Pro Wrestling, to a number of mentions of New Japan personnel on the 10/7 Dynamite show, have led to a lot more speculation of what this all means.
The relationship, or more accurately, lack of relationship between AEW and New Japan, the second and third largest pro wrestling companies in the world, has always been a subject of speculation.

New Japan were perhaps the first people officially given the heads-up about AEW, about its belief of getting on TNT, and had set up a meeting to work together in January 2019.
In fact, when The Young Bucks & Cody & Page made the official announcement of AEW, they did so outside the Tokyo Dome Hotel with the Dome itself in the background. AEW sent Chris Harrington to Japan both to finalize deals for some of the talent, but also for meetings with New Japan to work on an affiliation that in theory would have included each side having access to talent. The hope, and for that matter, the expectation on the AEW side was that AEW talent would continue to work major New Japan shows in 2019.
At the time AEW was planning on doing some house shows, maybe like 10-20 per year on weekends, but the theory was the house shows were not to be on weekends of New Japan’s biggest events. The big snag from the New Japan side was the New Japan relationship with ROH, and the sold out Madison Square Garden event that the two companies were partners with.

A lot of bitter feelings came out of that week, when New Japan canceled the AEW talent from wrestling on the New Year’s Dash show, wouldn’t entertain thoughts of a working relationship at that time (although the word was more wait and see than absolute no), and just beat everyone on the way out, with no farewells allowed.
There were hurt feelings over it, noting that when A.J. Styles left, they shot a big angle with him to explain it and also gave him a great angle to return if things didn’t work out in WWE, and they continued to book Karl Anderson & Luke Gallows and gave them a big farewell, and also did farewells for Shinsuke Nakamura and later Kushida, even though both were going to WWE, which has been New Japan’s historical enemy as opposed to a group wanting to be its ally.

On the other side, Omega did an interview with Tokyo Sports saying he was leaving the company which New Japan had no awareness of. Unlike with the others, which New Japan felt would not impact business, New Japan was of the belief that Omega and Jericho, who they thought were the two key players, would still be with them. Jericho continued on a reported $100,000 per show deal through last being used on January 5, 2020. There were no plans of future dates given the size of the deal even before the pandemic hit that made dates impossible.

There were legal threats made by New Japan against Omega and AEW over his departure, and Omega switched affiliations to DDT before the pandemic hit. New Japan was also very mad when Best Friends, in particular Trent Baretta, who they saw as a potential star, went to AEW after accepting a verbal deal with New Japan but Baretta had not yet signed it. AEW later signed Lance Archer, another of New Japan’s top foreigners, although we never heard of any heat with New Japan over that.

Jericho pushed hard to get a working relationship going, and was able to get both sides to agree that he would be promoted as AEW champion for his Tokyo Dome match with Hiroshi Tanahashi. It was pushed as a non-title match, but that if Tanahashi was to win, he would get a title match. That was likely to put question into the outcome. But there were no plans for the title match due to the lack of a business relationship, so even though Tanahashi was a top New Japan star, and at the time it was Jericho’s last appearance, because he was AEW world champion, the only finishes could have been a draw, which the show had no time for, or Jericho winning, which is what happened. But due to the past problems, Jericho, and others, were unable to get any kind of a deal put together.

At this point, the situation explained last week, that from an AEW side, Meij not being there is probably a positive for the potential of a deal, is still the situation. There are still people on both sides wanting a deal. And there are obviously reasons that get in the way of it. And with the pandemic, meaning it being difficult to impossible to have foreign talent come in (AEW has been unable to use its own contracted Japanese based talent like Riho, Yuka Sakazaki, Shoko Nakajima, Cima, T-Hawk and Lindaman), it’s not something that would need to be rushed through with any kind of a time element.

Meij is still running New Japan for the next few weeks, largely involved with the COVID issue as well as plans for the hoped for Tokyo Dome show on 1/4. In a normal year, that show would be most important because it would spur on more of a rush when it comes to a deal as New Japan would be interested in AEW stars to make a Dome show more special. But the difficulty of bringing foreigners in at this point may make that a moot point this year.

source : October 12, 2020 Observer Newsletter: Florida reopens, Cartwright lawsuit
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2020.10.10 11:00 LiquidSuicide 36/F/Germany looking for pen pals!

EDIT: Thank you for all your messages! I have found enough pals for now, so no more messages please. :)


Hello everyone, I just discovered this sub and am all giddy about finding me some pen pals! :)

I have a pretty boring job which basically means nothing more than security and a regular income. I am also semi-self-employed as a therapist since I have had quite a lot of education in the health sector so far. I am currently studying psychology in hopes of one day quitting my boring 9 to 5 job and do work that is actually fulfilling and of importance to me, but it is not always easy. There are days when I feel so overwhelmed with everything that nothing makes sense anymore. Sometimes it gets so bad that I just want to quit everything and succumb to the monotony... What helps me through times like this is quite simple (and also a bit cheesy): my Family and life partner, my beloved cat, delicious food, and (perhaps most importantly) solitude.

I love curiosities, spending time outdoors, casual gaming (started with Super Mario Bros. and Ocarina of Time, currently hooked on Stardew Valley and Spiritfarer), Stop motion (Coraline is a favourite), Wes Anderson movies, anime, music, books, neon lights, blueberries, comfortable silence and tea. Nighttime is best time! I also like to take pictures, especially of landscapes, flowers as well as inanimate objects. I like to write and talk just as much as I like to read and listen.
I don't care about age or nationality, I'd be happy to just find some people looking for a meaningful, platonic friendship to share everyday things with! I'd love to exchange letters, photography, art, poems, recipes, music or care packages. I am fluent in German and English, pretty good in Farsi, so-so in French and know a biiit of Japanese.
Let's chat a bit to get to know each other before we decide on penpalling, yeah? Send me a DM or leave a comment below! :)
submitted by LiquidSuicide to penpals [link] [comments]


2020.10.08 21:18 mr_tyler_durden Notes and Highlights of Kentucky Governor Andy Beshear’s Live Update October 8, 2020

Notes and Highlights of Kentucky Governor Andy Beshear’s Live Update October 8, 2020
Notes by mr_tyler_durden and Daily Update Team
Check your registration status, ballot status, or how to vote here!
Note: Thank you to the people who have given awards to these posts but I do want to say: Please don’t spend money to give these posts an award or if you want to give then donate it here instead. These people need your help more than I need awards. I guess if you are just spending reddit coins that you already have then that’s fine but don’t spend new money, donate it instead. Thank you all!
Watch here:
Headlines
  1. For the very first one is the Team Kentucky Fund, and I have some great news to share. We partnered with the community action of Kentucky and they have served as the hands and feet of our operation and I'm happy to announce today that we have officially given $1 million in aid to Kentuckians through the Team Kentucky Fund. [...] So if you've fallen on hard times financially because of COVID-19, please visit https://teamkyfund.ky.gov/ to apply. If you want to help your fellow Kentucky and you can make a donation at http://donate.ky.gov/ every gift is tax deductible and 100% of the proceeds go directly to support Kentuckians.
Full Notes
(continued in stickied comment)
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2020.10.07 20:38 mr_tyler_durden Notes and Highlights of Kentucky Governor Andy Beshear’s Live Update October 7, 2020

Notes and Highlights of Kentucky Governor Andy Beshear’s Live Update October 7, 2020
Notes by mr_tyler_durden and Daily Update Team
Register for your Absentee Ballot here!
Note: Thank you to the people who have given awards to these posts but I do want to say: Please don’t spend money to give these posts an award or if you want to give then donate it here instead. These people need your help more than I need awards. I guess if you are just spending reddit coins that you already have then that’s fine but don’t spend new money, donate it instead. Thank you all!
Watch here:
Headlines
Full Notes
(continued in stickied comment)
submitted by mr_tyler_durden to Coronavirus_KY [link] [comments]


2020.10.06 21:23 oliver_babish "But he was my r4 pick!" / "I spent half my FAB on him!": How the Sunk Cost Fallacy Will Mess Up Your Team

Author’s note: I first published this piece in 2018. Last season, I changed a few things , and I've revised again. If you miss the part about the IKEA effect, I've broken it out separately. –o_b, and no, I'm not the chef.
Let's say you bought a ticket weeks ago for a concert tonight.
(Okay, this example worked better before COVID, so bear with me.)
It was not a cheap ticket. And now it's the day of the show and you've been sick in bed all day and you've tried to get rid of the ticket for reasonable value and you can't, and now it's two hours before the show and the question is -- do you go to the show and have a miserable time because you already paid for the ticket, or do you stay home because resting and Netflix will make you feel better?
Or this: imagine you had spent $500 for a ski weekend in Vermont, but soon after found a better ski trip in New Hampshire for only $100 and bought a ticket for this trip too. Except now, it turns out, the two trips overlap and you can't refund or resell the ticket. Which one do you choose, the $500 good vacation, or the $100 great one?
Except that ski trip in Vermont is Kenyan Drake, Leonard Fournette, TY Hilton, Michael Gallup, or AJ Green, and that trip to New Hampshire is named James Robinson or Robby Anderson.
Welcome to the sunk cost fallacy.
This tendency shows up all the time in small everyday decisions like:
“I’m full, but I might as well keep eating because I’ve paid for the food.”
“This book is boring, but I’ve already read 100 pages so I might as well finish it.”
“I haven’t used this sweater in years, but it was so expensive that I have to keep it.”
And it can also affect big life decisions like:
“I’ve invested so much into this business venture that I might as well keep pouring money into it.”
“This career isn’t fulfilling to me, but I’ll stick to it because I’ve invested so much time and money into my education.”
“I know my partner is bad for me, but we’ve been together for so long that it wouldn’t make sense to leave.”
It happens throughout our lives, this notion that since we've spent the money on [X], we'd better go through with it even if it means spending even more money going forward and/or that we’ll be less happy with it. And it's wrong. Once you've spent the money, you've spent it. You can’t get it back.
The same thing happens in fantasy football. We always see posts on the Add/Drop and other index threads such as “I know, it's a tough spot because I could drop [AJ Green] for someone I could actually use on waivers, but dropping your 5th pick for a waiver add is a painful way to go.”
And I am sure that some of you - if not today, then soon enough - will look at the FAB you spent on Devonta Freeman and then ask yourself, wait, I knew he'd be playing for the Giants when I spent all this on him, right?
Guess what. That draft already happened, and that FAB is gone. You don't get to re-do it. Yes, the fact of your drafting him that high may remind you of why you believed that player was going to be valuable, but you still have to assess, going forward based on all the available information, who will be more valuable.
What the sunk cost fallacy does is function as an invisible undertow to pull your future decisionmaking in a way that justifies your bad choices in the past--in part, perhaps (and here I'm going to edit from a business journal piece):
Why can’t people free themselves from past decisions? Frequently, it’s because they are unwilling, consciously or not, to admit to a mistake. Acknowledging a poor decision in one’s personal life may be purely a private matter, involving only one’s self-esteem, but in business fantasy football,a bad decision is often a very public matter, inviting critical comments from colleagues or bosses other owners. If you fire a poor performer whom you hired, you’re making a public admission of poor judgment. It seems psychologically safer to let him or her stay on, even though that choice only compounds the error.
Indeed, as Dr Jim Everett at Leiden University notes:
“We are all susceptible to these biases. But often, we can partially offset them by taking a step back and thinking through the alternatives.”
When weighing up whether to persist with a course of action, he says, always ask yourself: ‘What would I gain or lose if I stuck with this option, and what would I gain or lose if I switched?'
If in doubt, Everett recommends reflecting on the entire chain of decisions that has led to where you are now, and considering the counterfactuals – in other words, what’s true and not true, a reality check.
“If presented with the same choice again, would I make the same decision? If not – why not?”
What does this mean for your fantasy team?
It means that you have to be vigilant about the fact that we all want to prove that our carefully considered draft choices were correct. We may be unwilling to trade away players for ones drafted later (or not at all) who are doing better. And that gets in the way of our ability to make trades or otherwise assess correctly the only thing which matters: which player is more likely to help our team going forward?
Put another way: even if someone won't trade you what you think Julio Jones or Kenyan Drake is "worth," isn't the salient question whether you think the other player will help your team more for the rest of season than they will?
Similarly, when assessing a start/bench decision, how and when you acquired a player is irrelevant. If you're deciding whether to start TY Hilton this week or CeeDee Lamb, exclude from your analysis any thought of "well, I oughta stick with the guy I drafted."
The only question which matters is: who's going to play better this week? Going forward, who would I rather have?
Good luck, everyone.
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2020.10.06 01:11 John_Charles_Fremont /r/neoliberal elects the American Presidents - Part 52, Bush v Gore in 2000

Previous editions:
(All strawpoll results counted as of the next post made)
Part 1, Adams v Jefferson in 1796 - Adams wins with 68% of the vote
Part 2, Adams v Jefferson in 1800 - Jefferson wins with 58% of the vote
Part 3, Jefferson v Pinckney in 1804 - Jefferson wins with 57% of the vote
Part 4, Madison v Pinckney (with George Clinton protest) in 1808 - Pinckney wins with 45% of the vote
Part 5, Madison v (DeWitt) Clinton in 1812 - Clinton wins with 80% of the vote
Part 6, Monroe v King in 1816 - Monroe wins with 51% of the vote
Part 7, Monroe and an Era of Meta Feelings in 1820 - Monroe wins with 100% of the vote
Part 8, Democratic-Republican Thunderdome in 1824 - Adams wins with 55% of the vote
Part 9, Adams v Jackson in 1828 - Adams wins with 94% of the vote
Part 10, Jackson v Clay (v Wirt) in 1832 - Clay wins with 53% of the vote
Part 11, Van Buren v The Whigs in 1836 - Whigs win with 87% of the vote, Webster elected
Part 12, Van Buren v Harrison in 1840 - Harrison wins with 90% of the vote
Part 13, Polk v Clay in 1844 - Polk wins with 59% of the vote
Part 14, Taylor v Cass in 1848 - Taylor wins with 44% of the vote (see special rules)
Part 15, Pierce v Scott in 1852 - Scott wins with 78% of the vote
Part 16, Buchanan v Frémont v Fillmore in 1856 - Frémont wins with 95% of the vote
Part 17, Peculiar Thunderdome in 1860 - Lincoln wins with 90% of the vote.
Part 18, Lincoln v McClellan in 1864 - Lincoln wins with 97% of the vote.
Part 19, Grant v Seymour in 1868 - Grant wins with 97% of the vote.
Part 20, Grant v Greeley in 1872 - Grant wins with 96% of the vote.
Part 21, Hayes v Tilden in 1876 - Hayes wins with 87% of the vote.
Part 22, Garfield v Hancock in 1880 - Garfield wins with 67% of the vote.
Part 23, Cleveland v Blaine in 1884 - Cleveland wins with 53% of the vote.
Part 24, Cleveland v Harrison in 1888 - Harrison wins with 64% of the vote.
Part 25, Cleveland v Harrison v Weaver in 1892 - Harrison wins with 57% of the vote
Part 26, McKinley v Bryan in 1896 - McKinley wins with 71% of the vote
Part 27, McKinley v Bryan in 1900 - Bryan wins with 55% of the vote
Part 28, Roosevelt v Parker in 1904 - Roosevelt wins with 71% of the vote
Part 29, Taft v Bryan in 1908 - Taft wins with 64% of the vote
Part 30, Taft v Wilson v Roosevelt in 1912 - Roosevelt wins with 81% of the vote
Part 31, Wilson v Hughes in 1916 - Hughes wins with 62% of the vote
Part 32, Harding v Cox in 1920 - Cox wins with 68% of the vote
Part 33, Coolidge v Davis v La Follette in 1924 - Davis wins with 47% of the vote
Part 34, Hoover v Smith in 1928 - Hoover wins with 50.2% of the vote
Part 35, Hoover v Roosevelt in 1932 - Roosevelt wins with 85% of the vote
Part 36, Landon v Roosevelt in 1936 - Roosevelt wins with 75% of the vote
Part 37, Willkie v Roosevelt in 1940 - Roosevelt wins with 56% of the vote
Part 38, Dewey v Roosevelt in 1944 - Dewey wins with 50.2% of the vote
Part 39, Dewey v Truman in 1948 - Truman wins with 65% of the vote
Part 40, Eisenhower v Stevenson in 1952 - Eisenhower wins with 69% of the vote
Part 41, Eisenhower v Stevenson in 1956 - Eisenhower wins with 60% of the vote
Part 42, Kennedy v Nixon in 1960 - Kennedy wins with 63% of the vote
Part 43, Johnson v Goldwater in 1964 - Johnson wins with 87% of the vote
Part 44, Nixon v Humphrey in 1968 - Humphrey wins with 60% of the vote
Part 45, Nixon v McGovern in 1972 - Nixon wins with 56% of the vote
Part 46, Carter v Ford in 1976 - Carter wins with 71% of the vote
Part 47 - Carter v Reagan v Anderson in 1980 - Carter wins with 44% of the vote
Part 48, Reagan v Mondale in 1984 - Mondale wins with 55% of the vote
Part 49, Bush v Dukakis in 1988 - Bush wins with 54% of the vote
Part 50, Bush v Clinton v Perot in 1992 - Clinton wins with 71% of the vote
Part 51, Clinton v Dole in 1996 - Clinton wins with 91% of the vote
Welcome back to the fifty-second edition of /neoliberal elects the American presidents!
This will be a fairly consistent weekly thing - every week, a new election, until we run out.
I highly encourage you - at least in terms of the vote you cast - to try to think from the perspective of the year the election was held, without knowing the future or how the next administration would go. I'm not going to be trying to enforce that, but feel free to remind fellow commenters of this distinction.
If you're really feeling hardcore, feel free to even speak in the present tense as if the election is truly upcoming!
Whether third and fourth candidates are considered "major" enough to include in the strawpoll will be largely at my discretion and depend on things like whether they were actually intending to run for President, and whether they wound up actually pulling in a meaningful amount of the popular vote and even electoral votes. I may also invoke special rules in how the results will be interpreted in certain elections to better approximate historical reality.
While I will always give some brief background info to spur the discussion, please don't hesitate to bring your own research and knowledge into the mix! There's no way I'll cover everything!
Al Gore v George Bush, 2000
Profiles
  • Al Gore is the 52-year-old Democratic candidate and the current Vice President. His running mate is US Senator from Connecticut Joe Lieberman.
  • George (W.) Bush is the 54-year-old Republican candidate and the Governor of Texas. His running mate is former Secretary of Defense Dick Cheney.
Issues and Background
  • Roughly two years ago, President Bill Clinton became the first President in over 100 years to be impeached by the House of Representatives. He was eventually acquitted in the Senate. Clinton was accused of grand jury perjury related to his extramarital sexual relationship with 22-year-old White House intern Monica Lewinsky. He was also accused of obstruction of justice. The full report from the independent counsel can be read here.
    • Vice President Gore has said that President Clinton made a mistake, and has even called Clinton's behavior "inexcusable," but has claimed that "the people" want to move on to other issues. Likely aware of some polling evidence that Clinton may be a drag on his numbers, he has distanced himself from the President during the campaign, emphasizing that he is his own man. Stories in papers like the Washington Post and the New York Times regularly describe leaked frustrations from Clinton loyalists and Clinton himself about this distancing. Joint appearances are being minimized. In one of the primary debates, Gore stated:
      As an American who was serving as vice president, I was critical of the president. As an American, I also defended the office of the presidency against an effort by partisan Republicans in the House and Senate to deliver a thoroughly disproportionate penalty for a serious and reprehensible personal mistake on the part of the president. He should not have been removed from office for that offense. And fighting against their efforts to remove him from office and undo the act of the American people in twice electing him, I think I was serving the public interest well.
    • The Bush campaign, and Bush himself, have emphasized that they will bring "honor and dignity" back to the White House. In his convention speech, Vice Presidential nominee Dick Cheney said:
      George W. Bush will repair what has been damaged. He's a man without pretense, without cynicism, a man of principle, a man of honor. On the first hour of the first day, he will restore decency and integrity to the Oval Office.
  • The federal budget is set to be in surplus for the third year in a row this year, and many government agencies and forecasters are expecting well in excess of $1 trillion in total surpluses over the coming decade. Thus, one major election issue is what each candidate will do with this surplus.
    • Governor Bush described his plan for the surplus in the first debate as follows:
      I want to take one-half of the surplus and dedicate it to Social Security. One-quarter of the surplus for important projects, and I want to send one-quarter of the surplus back to the people who pay the bills. I want everybody who pays taxes to have their tax rates cut.
      Vice President Gore's main criticism of the Bush plan has been that because the tax cuts are across the board, a large amount of the surplus dollars will wind up going to the wealthiest Americans. Bush has countered that as President, he doesn't want to be in the business of picking winners and losers when it comes to tax relief.
    • Vice President Gore says that for every $1 of the surplus he will use for tax cuts or new spending, he will use $2 for deficit reduction. Gore intends to set the United States on a path to eliminate the national debt by the year 2012. He also proposes $500 in targeted tax cuts intended to reach low and middle income families. Bush accuses Gore of intending to increase the size of government dramatically, which Gore denies.
  • Just recently, the FDA approved abortion pill RU-486. Governor Bush has said he will respect the FDA's independence, but is concerned this will lead to an increase in abortions. Governor Bush describes himself as pro-life, but says "a lot of good people disagree on the issue" and that the issue is not a litmus test for any potential Supreme Court nominations he could make. He argues there are pro-life objectives that can be accomplished which exist on broader common ground, like parental consent laws on abortion and the banning of "partial-birth abortions." Vice President Gore is pro-choice but says he would be willing to sign a law banning partial-birth abortions "provided that doctors have the ability to save a woman's life or to act if her health is severely at risk."
  • Following US participation through NATO in the Kosovo War and the overthrow of Milosevic in the recent Yugoslavian elections, the United States maintains a presence in the Balkans. Gore supports continued US involvement and support in the region "until the mission is complete," while Bush would like to see a more immediate reprioritization of where some resources are deployed, pending consultation with NATO allies. The New York Times summarizes their differences:
    Mr. Gore is an interventionist, and over the years has repeatedly pressed for more vigorous United States involvement in hot spots around the world, including Bosnia and Kosovo. Mr. Bush denies he is an isolationist, but says United States troops should not be used for nation-building abroad. He would start by bringing home the 11,400 troops in the Balkans, once this country's NATO allies had agreed.
  • Following reforms in the 1980s, the Social Security system is not in particularly dire shape, though the trust fund could eventually run out by the 2030s if no further changes are made. Governor Bush has proposed a dramatic reform of the system which would allow workers to divert 2 percentage points of their 12.4% payroll tax into personal investment accounts. The Gore campaign argues that this plan will mean that the Social Security trust fund will run dry over 10 years earlier than currently expected.
  • Over the next 10 years, Medicare by itself is expected to run significant surpluses. Vice President Gore proposes taking Medicare "off-budget" in the same way as Social Security, putting Medicare funds in a metaphorical "lockbox" so they cannot be used for new spending or new tax cuts.
  • This campaign has seen significant discussion on the topic of education. Unlike other prominent Republicans, Governor Bush does not want to get rid of the Department of Education. He is an ardent advocate for standardized testing and wants to help more states set up such testing. Under Bush's plan, a school which shows poor results for three years in a row will see its students granted the option of a voucher which can be used for tutoring or private school tuition - for each student who chooses a voucher, the school will lose a proportional amount of federal dollars. Gore's plan calls for universal preschool, and for schools which show poor results two years in a row to reorganize with new leadership and even potentially new teachers.
  • The Columbine High School massacre remains on the minds of many. On guns, the main difference between the candidates is that Gore supports licensing for new handguns at the state level, while Bush does not. Gore also supports restoring the three-day waiting period under the Brady Law. Both candidates support instant background checks at gun shows. Governor Bush argues for greater enforcement of existing laws and raising the age when one can carry a handgun from 18 to 21. For Columbine specifically, Gore argues that some gun control measures could have possibly prevented the school shooting. In contrast, Governor Bush argues "it's really a matter of culture," that "somewhere along the line we've begun to disrespect life."
  • A few years ago, Vice President Gore helped broker the Kyoto Protocol/Treaty, an international commitment to reduce greenhouse gas emissions. The agreement was signed by the Clinton Administration but effectively killed by the Senate via a resolution that strongly signaled they would refuse to ratify it. Governor Bush says global warming is "an issue that we need to take very seriously," but also says, "I don't think we know the solution to global warming yet," and that we need to have "the full accounting, full understanding of what's taking place."
  • Just days before the election, it has come out that 24 years ago, Bush was arrested for driving under the influence of alcohol. Bush says that the report is true, but argues that he has always been candid and remorseful about the fact that in his youth, he occasionally drank too much. Asked about why he had not previously disclosed this particular incident, he said he did not want his daughters to find out and for it to undermine his parenting.
Debate Excerpts
Quotations in excerpt titles refer to moderator's prompt, block quotations are from named candidate(s).
First Presidential Debate (full transcript)
(1) Bush on whether he would "try to overturn the FDA's approval last week of the abortion pill RU-486":
I don't think a president can do that. I was disappointed in the ruling because I think abortions ought to be more rare in America, and I'm worried that that pill will create more abortions and cause more people to have abortions. This is a very important topic and it's a very sensitive topic, because a lot of good people disagree on the issue. I think what the next president ought to do is to promote a culture of life in America ... I know we need to change a lot of minds before we get there in America. What I do believe is that we can find good, common ground on issues of parental consent or parental notification. I know we need to ban partial birth abortions. This is a place where my opponent and I have strong disagreement.
(2) Gore on the budget:
I think that we have got to balance the budget every single year, pay down the national debt and, in fact, under my proposal the national debt will be completely eliminated by the year 2012. I think we need to put Medicare and Social Security in a lockbox. The governor will not put Medicare in a lockbox. I don't think it should be used as a piggy bank for other programs. I think it needs to be moved out of the budget and protected. I'll veto anything that takes money out of Social Security or Medicare for anything other than Social Security or Medicare.
(3) Bush on "nation-building":
The vice president and I have a disagreement about the use of troops. He believes in nation building. I would be very careful about using our troops as nation builders. I believe the role of the military is to fight and win war and therefore prevent war from happening in the first place. So I would take my responsibility seriously. And it starts with making sure we rebuild our military power. Morale in today's military is too low. We're having trouble meeting recruiting goals. We met the goals this year, but in the previous years we have not met recruiting goals. Some of our troops are not well-equipped. I believe we're overextended in too many places. And therefore I want to rebuild the military power. It starts with a billion dollar pay raise for the men and women who wear the uniform. A billion dollars more than the president recently signed into law.
(4) Gore on education:
We agree on a couple of things on education. I strongly support new accountability, so does Governor Bush. I strongly support local control, so does Governor Bush. I'm in favor of testing as a way of measuring performance. Every school and every school district, have every state test the children. I've also proposed a voluntary national test in the fourth grade and eighth grade, and a form of testing the governor has not endorsed. I think that all new teachers ought to be tested, including in the subjects that they teach. We've got to recruit 100,000 new teachers. And I have budgeted for that. We've got to reduce the class size so that the student who walks in has more one-on-one time with the teacher. We ought to have universal pre-school and we ought to make college tuition tax deductible, up to $10,000 a year.
(5) Bush on what he would do in the event of a financial crisis:
Well, it depends, obviously. But what I would do first and foremost, is I would get in touch with the Federal Reserve Chairman, Alan Greenspan, to find out all the facts and all the circumstances. I would have my Secretary of the Treasury be in touch with the financial centers not only here, but at home. I would make sure that key members of Congress were called in to discuss the gravity of the situation. And I would come up with a game plan to deal with it. That's what governors end up doing. We end up being problem solvers. We come up with practical, common sense solutions for problems that we're confronted with. In this case, in the case of a financial crisis, I would gather all the facts before I made the decision as to what the government ought or ought not to do.
(6) Gore on campaign finance reform:
And that's one of the reasons I've said before, and I'll pledge here tonight, if I'm president, the very first bill that Joe Lieberman and I will send to the United States Congress is the McCain-Feingold campaign finance reform bill. And the reason it's that important is that all of the other issues, whether prescription drugs for all seniors that are opposed by the drug companies or the patient's bill of rights to take the decisions away from the HMOs and give them to the doctors and nurses, opposed by the HMOs and insurance companies, all these other proposals are going to be a lot easier to get passed for the American people if we limit the influence of special interest money and give democracy back to the American people.
Vice-Presidential Debate (full transcript)
(1) Cheney on Iraq (full moderator question included):
MODERATOR: This question is for you, Mr. Secretary. If Iraq's president Saddam Hussein were found to be developing weapons of mass destruction, Governor Bush has said he would, quote, "Take him out." Would you agree with such a deadly policy?
CHENEY: We might have no other choice. We'll have to see if that happens. The thing about Iraq, of course, was at the end of the war we had pretty well decimated their military. We had put them back in the box, so to speak ... Unfortunately now we find ourselves in a situation where that started to fray on us, where the coalition now no longer is tied tightly together ...The Russians and French are flying commercial airliners back into Baghdad and thumbing their nose at the international sanctions regime. We're in a situation today where our posture with Iraq is weaker than it was at the end of the war. It's unfortunate. I also think it's unfortunate we find ourselves in a position where we don't know for sure what might be transpiring inside Iraq. I certainly hope he's not regenerating that kind of capability, but if he were, if in fact Saddam Hussein were taking steps to try to rebuild nuclear capability or weapons of mass destruction, you would have to give very serious consideration to military action to -- to stop that activity. I don't think you can afford to have a man like Saddam Hussein with nuclear weapons in the Middle East.
(2) Lieberman on whether gays and lesbians should have "all the constitutional rights enjoyed by every American citizen":
The question you pose is a difficult one for this reason. It confronts or challenges the traditional notion of marriage as being limited to a heterosexual couple, which I support. I must say I'm thinking about this, because I have friends who are in gay and lesbian partnerships who said to me, isn't it fair. We don't have legal rights to inheritance, visitation when one partner is ill, to health care benefits. That's why I'm thinking about it. My mind is open to taking some action that will address those elements of unfairness while respecting the traditional religious and civil institution of marriage.
(3) Cheney on the same question as above:
This is a tough one, Bernie. The fact of the matter is we live in a free society, and freedom means freedom for everybody. We shouldn't be able to choose and say you get to live free and you don't. That means people should be free to enter into any kind of relationship they want to enter into. It's no one's business in terms of regulating behavior in that regard. The next step then, of course, is the question you ask of whether or not there ought to be some kind of official sanction of the relationships or if they should be treated the same as a traditional marriage. That's a tougher problem. That's not a slam dunk. The fact of the matter is that matter is regulated by the states. I think different states are likely to come to different conclusions, and that's appropriate.
(4) Lieberman on Hollywood:
Al Gore and I have felt for a long time, first as parents and then only second as public officials, that we cannot let America's parents stand alone in this competition that they feel they're in with Hollywood to raise their own kids and give their kids the faith and values they want to give them. I've been a consistent crusader on that behalf. John McCain and I actually requested the Federal Trade Commission report that came out three or four weeks ago which proved conclusively that the entertainment industry was marketing adult-rated products to our children. That is just not acceptable. One finding was that they were actually using 10 to 12-year-olds to test screen adult-rated products. When that report came out, Al Gore and I said to the entertainment industry, stop it.
Second Presidential Debate (full transcript)
(1) Bush on whether our country's wealth brings "with it special obligations to the rest of the world":
Yes, it does. Take, for example, Third World debt. I think we ought to be forgiving Third World debt under certain conditions. I think, for example, if we're convinced that a Third World country that's got a lot of debt would reform itself, that the money wouldn't go into the hands of a few but would go to help people, I think it makes sense for us to use our wealth in that way, or to trade debt for valuable rain forest lands, makes that much sense, yes. We do have an obligation, but we can't be all things to all people. We can help build coalitions but we can't put our troops all around the world.
(2) Gore on Iraq:
I was one of the few members of my political party to support former President Bush in the Persian Gulf War resolution, and at the end of that war, for whatever reason, it was not finished in a way that removed Saddam Hussein from power. I know there are all kinds of circumstances and explanations. But the fact is that that's the situation that was left when I got there. And we have maintained the sanctions. Now I want to go further. I want to give robust support to the groups that are trying to overthrow Saddam Hussein, and I know there are allegations that they're too weak to do it, but that's what they said about the forces that were opposing Milosevic in Serbia, and you know, the policy of enforcing sanctions against Serbia has just resulted in a spectacular victory for democracy just in the past week...
(3) Bush on Serbia:
I think it's a triumph. I thought the president made the right decision in joining NATO and bombing Serbia. I supported them when they did so. I called upon the Congress not to hamstring the administration, and in terms of forcing troop withdrawals on a timetable that wasn't necessarily in our best interest or fit our nation's strategy, and so I think it's good public policy, I think it worked, and I'm pleased I took -- made the decision I made. I'm pleased the president made the decision he made. Because freedom to go in that part of the world, and where there's a lot of work left to be done, however.
(4) Gore exchange with moderator on eight major interventions of the last 20 years:
MODERATOR: ...in the last 20 years there have been eight major actions that involved the introduction of U.S. ground, air or naval forces. Let me name them. Lebanon, Grenada, Panama, the Persian Gulf, Somalia, Bosnia, Haiti, Kosovo. If you had been president for any of those interventions, would any of those interventions not have happened? GORE: Can you run through the list again? MODERATOR: Sure. Lebanon. GORE: I thought that was a mistake. MODERATOR: Grenada. GORE: I supported that. MODERATOR: Panama. GORE: I supported that. MODERATOR: Persian Gulf. GORE: Yes, I voted for it, supported it. MODERATOR: Somalia. GORE: Of course, and that again -- no, I think that that was ill-considered. I did support it at the time. It was in the previous administration, in the Bush-Quayle administration, and I think in retrospect the lessons there are ones that we should take very, very seriously. MODERATOR: Bosnia. GORE: Oh, yes. MODERATOR: Haiti. GORE: Yes. MODERATOR: And then Kosovo. GORE: Yes.
(5) Gore on "nation-building":
This idea of nation building is kind of a pejorative phrase, but think about the great conflict of the past century, World War II. During the years between World War I and World War II, a great lesson was learned by our military leaders and the people of the United States. The lesson was that in the aftermath of World War I, we kind of turned our backs and left them to their own devices and they brewed up a lot of trouble that quickly became World War II. And acting upon that lesson in the aftermath of our great victory in World War II, we laid down the Marshall Plan, President Truman did. We got intimately involved in building NATO and other structures there. We still have lots of troops in Europe. And what did we do in the late '40's and '50's and '60's? We were nation building. And it was economic. But it was also military. And the confidence that those countries recovering from the wounds of war had by having troops there. We had civil administrators come in to set up their ways of building their towns back.
Third Presidential Debate (Town Hall) (full transcript)
(1) Bush on health care:
I'm absolutely opposed to a national health care plan. I don't want the federal government making decisions for consumers or for providers. I remember what the administration tried to do in 1993. They tried to have a national health care plan. And fortunately, it failed. I trust people, I don't trust the federal government. It's going to be one of the themes you hear tonight. I don't want the federal government making decisions on behalf of everybody.
(2) Gore on the estate tax:
I'm for a massive reform of the estate tax or the death tax. And under the plan that I've proposed, 80% of all family farms will be completely exempt from the estate tax. And the vast majority of all family businesses would be completely exempt, and all of the others would have sharply reduced. So 80% -- now the problem with completely eliminating it goes back to the wealthiest 1%. The amount of money that has to be raised in taxes for middle-class families to make up for completely eliminating that on the very wealthiest, the billionaires, that would be an extra heavy burden on middle-class families. And so let's do it for most all, but not completely eliminate it for the very top.
(3) Bush on morality and protecting children:
You bet there's things that government can do. We can work with the entertainment industry to provide family hour. We can have filters on Internets where public money is spent. There ought to be filters in public libraries and filters in public schools so if kids get on the Internet, there is not going to be pornography or violence coming in. I think we ought to have character education in our schools. I know that doesn't directly talk about Hollywood, but it does reinforce the values you're teaching.
(4) Gore on morality and protecting children:
I've been involved myself in negotiating and helping to move along the negotiations with the Internet service providers to get a parents' protection page every time 95% of the pages come up. And a feature that allows parents to automatically check with one click what sites your kids have visited lately.
Platforms
Read the full 2000 Republican platform here.
Read the full 2000 Democratic platform here.
Internet Resources
Bush/Cheney Website
Gore/Lieberman Website
Videos
Debates
First Presidential Debate
Vice-Presidential Debate
Second Presidential Debate
Third Presidential Debate (Town Hall)
Advertisements
Bush personal responsibility ad
Bush education ad
RNC prescription drugs ad
Gore anti-Bush energy ad
Gore anti-Bush Social Security ad
Gore "keep the faith" ad
Bonus:
SNL's Gore v Bush Debate
Strawpoll
>>>VOTE HERE<<<
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(Okay here's the real poll, vote here)
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2020.10.04 01:18 blurryturtle Roland Garros Men's & Women's Round of 16 Writeup

A lot of people are asking for gambling advice. Mine would be don’t talk about mythical french dragons. After playing fast and loose with the dark arts, a pipe burst in my basement yesterday and I then found out that the shutoff valves had rusted out. Fun fact : flex tape makes you feel very optimistic when you’re stretching it over a leak but it doesn’t work, and just leaves you with new and creative angles for the leaks. I spent a lot of tiempo mopping my basement and setting things up for the plumbers, so I did miss a bit more of some matches than I’d really want to, which may help since I absolutely ate it on some of the round 3 matches.
Djokovic Khachanov : In an interview this week, Djokovic said, “My head is a perfect oval.” He was right, and it was on display against Galan. The first set was not only perfect tennis but entertaining. Novak (we’re on a first name basis) plays the kind of skillful game when he’s in control that is really enjoyable to watch. Time and time again he’s playing pingpong while other people are stuck covering a tennis court. The match tightened up in the second and third sets with Galan getting deep in a few games, but this was mostly a precursor to Djokovic’s first real test.
I had overlooked Khachanov in this draw because I felt he’d lose to Garin, but he played some great tennis today and his power and serving mean that while he may not have the best chance to win, he’ll certainly have an exciting affair with Djokovic. Garin withdrew from his doubles match a day or so ago and complained of dizziness. The physician was asking him how many fingers he was holding up and while he played pretty solid today, he had a sort of glazed look in his eyes throughout. After splitting sets I rather thought Garin would pull away. While Khachanov boasts a big offense, Garin’s speed makes it look like Khach has few options to score. Garin is just “there” for every shot, but he put a number of balls into the net with his forehand that he usually doesn’t.
Khachanov’s best chance in this match is to reign in the offense a bit. Djokovic thrives when his opponents make errors but sometimes gets frustrated when they make him work. The benevolent racquet applauding dropshot hitting Djokovic wins in style. The grumpy laugh at the sky shake his head smash a racquet Djokovic occasionally drops a set. It’s a testament to how good he is that he’s playing Khachanov and the discussion is “what can Karen do to steal a set”. Djokovic in 3, but this is the first chance for him to really show his level.
Carreño Busta Altmaier : Pablo, or Wobblo (as he’s known by rival trapeze crews) gave RBA a very long day. There were times when RBA took the lead but never for long. Carreno’s power was the big factor here and he hit a number of forehand winners. The inside in forehand he’s hitting is really deceptive and since inside-out is his usual pattern it works doubly well. I’m not sure patterns will be so ingrained in his next opponent as they are in RBA though. Altmaier is the story of the men’s side thus far having not dropped a single set through three rounds that continue to get more and more impressive. He plays very solid, hits hard, and his serving is surprisingly consistent even though it doesn’t seem like the biggest weapon. Berretini, though, refused to play more than a few shots per rally in this one. The first ball he could swing at he hit for winners. The ones he couldn’t drive he went for bailout dropshots. It was difficult watching him be so impatient to win rallies when they’re really nothing wrong with his defense or baseline game. Even in a straight set loss he had multiple looks at getting the lead in this match but there were just too many errors, and Altmaier playing at such a fast pace led to Berretini never really getting out of his rush.
After beating Struff and Berretini, it’s pretty clear that Altmaier will be a threat in this match. The last player to take a set off the hardworking German was Ruben Bemelmans in qualifying, and that result is half a puzzle now considering his consistency. I’m struggle to decide what to expect here. It’s another in a stream of these brand new matchups, which is great for the tour but difficult for anyone “trying” to make predictions. A good point to make here is that this is a reason “touts” and “prediction services” fail. By virtue of always trying to write a story or offer a possible outcome, you overextend beyond what your knowledge is. You come up with defendable positions rather than honest advice. It’s easy to write something convincing about a sporting event. All day long we’re thinking about potential futures in our head that will never come to be. Am I having a moment? Maybe. Perhaps it’s because I’m watching Collins bottle every volley or overhand she earns at the end of any point she’s winning. I learned about the term bottling this week. I’m gonna use it.
PCB should win this. Altmaier has benefitted greatly thus far from the errors of his opponents. PCB made very few of these in his match with RBA, just had a great run at the USO, and is the steadier player. It may take a while, since Altmaier is in such excellent form, but I still lean Wobblo, and maintain that that wire in the 2005 Southern Spain Trapeze Championships wasn’t regulation. PCB in 4.
Fucsovics Rublev : Are there no more lefty clay-courters left for Fucsovics to play? After disposing of ARV and Monteiro without much trouble, Fucovics magical victory against Medvedev is a distant memory. Time for another? Rublev beat Anderson pretty easily, and the bigman’s power during rallies was not much use against Rublev’s ballstriking. The matchup here is Rublev’s offense vs Fucsovics shot tolerance. The big Hungarian, who as we all know is from Nyíregyháza, is probably in the best shape of anyone on tour not named Nadal. He utilizes his speed and strength to really make the baseline small for opponents, and his precision game is something he keeps going with a reserved manner. He’ll never give away a match, and this is a good thing to have in his pocket since Rublev has a history of frustrations and errors. That history though, has not been present since the restart of the tour.
Rublev has been smoking the ball starting in Hamburg and his returning has been half clean winners and half solid returns. There is a good chance he will get into a number of Fucs’ service games and if you’ve ever had a wild squirrel with orange hair inside a duffel bag this is what it’s like to have Rublev in your service games. Squirrel smuggling in 4. I mean Rublev.
Dimitrov Tsitsipas : Oh heckkkkkk yeah. This is really and truly a brilliant round of 16 on both sides. Dimitrov was fortunate to receive an injury withdrawal from Carballes Baena, but he didn’t really need it. The big Bulgarian (who only appears past the second round once a year when the moon is full) has been in rare form this week, winning the matches he’s supposed to win and overall playing very overwhelming and consistent ball. This is what the fans want. I fade these guys at times and discuss their issues with consistency, but I absolutely concede that I would forfeit money to see the talent on display that Grigor possesses. Omg Collins won. How do ya like that. Anyway Dimitrov and Tsitsipas probably have two of the most “similar” games on tour, but one of them does way more with it. Tsitsipas played an injured Bedene who had issues with his ankle, and eventually retired, but similar to Grigor he really didn’t need it. Tsitsipas shrugged off the USO defeat, was good in Hamburg, and has been great so far in this event. Dimitrov’s athleticism and form can keep this one close for a while, but it really seems like Tsitsipas has elevated to another level here, and a rematch with Rublev is incoming. Tsitsipas in 4.
Sonego Schwartzman : Lorenzo Sonego can get things off the top shelf in the supermarket for you. Sometimes you’ll just be eating lunch somewhere in the world and Lorenzo Sonego will just snatch one of ur fries. This dude is lanky goodness, and something about him makes me want to buy a car. Fritz and Sonego played a really good match, and it was a good example of how a player can play 1 bad game and lose in straight sets. Fritz didn’t do much wrong here, but Sonego was excellent on the forehand wing. In the pressure moments he found big shots, and since Fritz wins behind his forehand, this gave him a slight disadvantage throughout.
Diego was down early to Gombos, but the guy manufactures breaks of serve better than anybody on tour. Consistently him, Nadal, and Djokovic are the top 3 in service breaks on tour, plus, he never steals french fries. This matchup is closer than people will expect. Sonego is very comfortable on clay and is solid enough to hang with Diego for stretches. If he serves well, he’ll be able to threaten to win sets. Fritz and Sonego was a long match, but two straight sets victories against servers won’t have Sonego in any fatigue issues. Diego is probably the best player left in the draw who you know won’t win the tournament, but he has a tendency to fall behind early in sets and this could become an issue since Sonego hasn’t really been making errors so far. I don’t like the -700 pricetag, but Diego should be able to break down Sonego’s backhand over the course of the match. Schwartzman in 4-5.
Gaston Thiem : Several times I looked at Gaston and Wawrinka’s match and felt like Wawrinka was playing great but the match was being played at Gaston’s tempo. Wawrinka needs time to set up, and with pauses in the rallies he becomes very difficult to beat. Gaston kept the ball moving though and that lateral war is not something that favors Wawrinka. It shoudn’t hurt him though. What ended up happening to Wawrinka was he played Gaston into the perfect training partner for him, and once Gaston had a read on where Wawrinka was going it became half a waste of time for Wawrinka to be hitting so hard. Fatigue set in in the 5th set, and Gaston honestly was the smarter competitor in this one.
Thiem and Ruud seemed like a high quality affair, but that only lasted for a brief period. Thiem is starting to really pull away late in matches and the reserved composure he plays with early in them has thus far not been solved by any of his opponents. A healthy dose of slices from Steve Johnson sees him losing, but the same strategy from Thiem (largely since he has the other one-handed stroke) sees opponents trapped trying to manufacture angles that feed into Thiem’s best shot. His accuracy when he plays down the line is starting to get real scary, since it was largely a redline shot in 2018 and a 60-40 prospect in 2019. I would say the AO where he beat Nadal was the first time where his backhand down the line was just an automatic point, and really how will people defend that as these long stretches of wins make him more comfortable and more confident? The kid is a monster, and yes tennis he also has a big butt.
Gaston will present the same steady defending and pace to Thiem, but Thiem is a much fitter player than Wawrinka and has a lot more variety/consistency in his game. Thiem in 3.
Zverev Sinner : Here I go hating again. Zverev has become like Fritz for me. I recognize that I tend to devalue their ability and focus on their bad performances/errors, and this skews my judgement. Writing these articles is beneficial for noting leaks like that. In their 3rd round contest though, Zverev and Cecchinato switched roles. Zverev made his first fast start in quite some time (I’d somewhat discount the USO against Thiem because that was more about Thiem being awful to begin) and returned extremely well. He was ripping his forehand crosscourt which is something we haven’t seen from him except in some rare instances late in matches. What went on on the other side of the net though was pretty difficult to watch. Cecchinato was cheated in this match. Nobody informed him of the new ATP rule about the ball having to both clear the net AND land inside the court. He will be filing an appeal, as he avoided both of these things like the plague. Not only did he make a ton of errors, but he took a return position not deep enough to return, and not shallow enough to catch the ball at a decent height. This was the Cecchinato that didn’t win a match for an entire year on tour, and after his first two matches where he was brilliant it is relatively unexplainable why he played this way. Even in this terrible form he was serving for the second set, and the momentum looked to shift but again, he was unaware of the new rules.
Sinner needed two come from behind sets against Coria to win, but he has shown that he is able to consistently produce his offense give the chance, and really what he struggles with is his lateral movement. More so on the forehand wing, but when he’s drawn wide he makes a lot of errors. It’s a similar issue to Kyle Edmund, and it’s partially the extreme grip. If Zverev shows up the same as he did against Cecchinato, he should win this, but even in a terrible lopsided loss, Cecchinato still won 9 games. Sinner will be significantly better, and where Cecchinato couldn’t get an unreturned serve, Sinner has a very competent service motion and can earn easier returns. In the interest of not just picking against Zverev every time, I will point out that Sinner has had fatigue issues late in matches, and Zverev served very well in his previous match. I think there is a big Ferrer factor with Zverev as he has seemed to have a specific gameplan in a few of his matches the past few events. This should be a high octane affair and the victory likely goes to who minimizes their errors. Passive Zverev loses this. Good first serve percentage Zverev wins it. Personally, as a person, I am the sort of person who thinks Sinner is going to win, but not if it goes to 5 sets. Sinner in 4.
Korda Nadal : Korda was probably the surprise of the round for most bettors. Pedro Martinez had been rolling through this draw and has become a very productive player against the 5-150 range of the tour. Korda is very smooth and displays the type of comfort on a tennis court that lets you know he’ll be on tour for a long time. He serve-volleys extremely well, and his forehand is smooth. The trouble with predicting he’d beat Martinez, is Martinez is different from anyone he’d played. Beating Seppi is good, but Seppi is a guy who never really wins a round during the clay season. Beating Isner is great, but Isner’s movement on clay is abysmal and he’s been less than stellar the past season or so. Playing a claycourter who’s been at the top of his game, it’s tough to look and say “Korda’s got this.” Yet, he had it, breaking over and over, and earning a primetime slot against Nadal. Since he’s so early in his career, no result here will be demoralizing for Korda. There’s still that “getting on court with an idol” benefit for him, and though he likely can’t win a set, any service hold or rally won will be a confidence boost for him. All positives here, but Nadal at RG is just a constant drag on his opponents physical reserves. I expect Korda’s serving to falter as this progresses. Nadal in 3.
Halep Swiatek : Anisimova looked good on a few shots early against Halep, showing her easy power. Unfortunately, as soon as Halep moved her she earned an error. This was the same pattern of Halep moving Anisimova over and over, and so the scoreline looks devastating, but it’s really just one issue that Anisimova will have to work on. Her movement on clay needs to improve to challenge the top players. Swiatek and Bouchard was a highly anticipated contest since both had kinda found their games in the restart, but Swiatek was all over her from the start. I am a big fan of underdogs, and on a tour where matches are often decided by a few key points, taking things for granted when backing a favorite is usually costly, but Halep’s defeat of Swiatek here last year was comprehensive. Swiatek is a great player, and her commitment to offense can really get her through tight matches, but Halep’s defending is the sort that there aren’t just endless chances to pick the next shot. She counterpunches with depth and is adept at passing players at net even on the run. Like a tiny Andy Murray, she makes the court seem small, and is perfectly comfortable playing her own offense when the open court presents itself. Halep in 2.
Trevisan Bertens : When you see a baby smile, you smile. It is the same phenomenon with Martina Trevisan. I called her Marta in the last post, and I apologize. Martina smiles from the first to the last point, and it is absurdly refreshing to see someone visibly enjoying their time competing. Sakkari was in full control of their match early, as Trevisan is a generally defensive player, winning by outlasting her opponents and by baiting them into lateral coverage contests. Trevisan was broken serving for the 2nd set but never stopped fighting. She was down multiple times in the tiebreaker but never stopped fighting. Her use of the moonball was exceptional, and Sakkari really missed an opportunity by not moving in on these shots. You’ll make some errors, but giving up court position is almost always wrong. Moonballs are offensive opportunities, and your opponent isn’t hitting them because everything is A ok on the other side of the net. They’re in trouble, and are hoping to buy time. Sakkari seemed throughout this like she’d win. She was really the better player, but her backhand made errors, and as the match descended into constant patterns of attack she found less open court and more smiley lady returns. Trevisan gave me actual joy watching her win her last two matches, and watching her hit her forehand cross court the entire match, then down the line whenever Sakkari bailed out too find a forehand was really remarkable.
Bertens has become a confusing prospect to me, but after a quick dismissal of Siniakova it’s clear she’s not dealing with residual cramping issues from her match with Errani. Trevisan was able to outlast Sakkari, but Bertens presents a more well-rounded attack. I don’t write Trevisan off, but she’s the sort of player who can’t put distance between herself and her opponents. She doesn’t really serve aces, she doesn’t really possess big power, and while she has a great deal of body control in her defending, she does give her opponent the ball to hit. I lean towards Bertens in 2.
Svitolina Garcia : Simple victory for Svitolina against Alexandrova. She hasn’t lost in the last two weeks and Alexandrova’s movement/offense weren’t enough. Garcia was beaten handily in the first set, and I was getting drenched by water coming from the ceiling in the second and third. I can say honestly that beating Kontaveit makes no sense, beating Mertens makes no sense, and now the very low +145 line for Garcia against Svitolina who is great on clay and won the last tournament makes me think she’s in line for another victory, and again it won’t make sense. Garcia makes the kind of errors that professional tennis player don’t make. She seems very awkward at times on her backhand, winding up with her racquet in too close and pulling the ball wide. She struggled early to find the pace of the ball against Mertens and dragged a number of shots long. When she does have her timing though, she crushes the ball. It’s the kind of offense you need to be standing still to execute, but the ball gets through the court quickly, and she tends to go big on returns which can mean a lot late in matches in the WTA.
The puzzle for me in seeing Svitolina listed lower is compounded by seeing that Garcia beat her in their most recent meeting on clay in 2018. Svitolina’s speed and consistency in moving her opponent is the sort of equation that Garcia has consistently lost again. Sometimes though, you have to admit you might be wrong. I lean towards Svitolina ending Garcia’s run here, but I get a similar sense that I did when watching footage of Anderson/Lajovic after being unsure why Anderson would have an edge. I would avoid this one, and I’m still picking Svitolina, but there’s reason to believe Garcia’s run will continue. Svitolina in 2.
Podoroska Krejcikova : Podoroska would be the first qualifier to win a major. That’s how good she has looked throughout her first three rounds, and now she gets a very interesting test. Krejcikova has a slow looking big swing, but the power she lazily seems to generate has shut down her last opponents in the deciding set. It seems like she’s out of it, and in her match against Pironkova she was down a set and looked like she’d be broken and lose in two, but her backhand kept firing, and her forehand was heavy enough to break down Pironkova. Podoroska and Schmiedlova was highly anticipated but didn’t deliver. Schmiedlova’s win against Azarenka seems to have been more about Azarenka, and Podoroska’s offense was in control from start to finish. I haven’t really seen a more noticeable impact player come onto the tour in a while, and though Krejcikova can wear down her opponents, I expect Podoroska to expose her lapses in play where Strycova and Pironkova wore down. Podoroska in 2.
Jabeur Collins : Sabalenka has to be crushed after losing that match. She played exceptional and was only a few inches off on the shots she was missing. After rolling through the second set Jabeur seemed out of this contest, and Sabalenka threatened to break in the third a few times, but Jabeur served well in those pressure moments, serving that we haven’t really seen from her yet this event. The out-wide serve from the duece court was a big factor, and her forehand was crispy. I finished up the day by watching Collins and Muguruza, and it did not disappoint. Collins was the better player in the first set despite being way ahead of Mugu in the errors column. Late in the first set Muguruza had only made 1 forehand error and I had thought Collins solid play and aggressive drives would force Muguruza into errors and that’d be her path to victory. Not so. This was a contest of solid ballstriking throughout, and in the second set Collins missed her targets. She won rallies but lost points, spraying balls wide or long anytime she got a look at a break point. It was hard to watch, and it continued early in the third. She was broken immediately, had a few breakback points and squandered them, and endured one of the longest stretches of missing overheads and swinging volleys that I’ve ever seen. It was 2018 Djokovic level overhead troubles, and the worst part was she was playing excellent and could have been right in the match.
At 3-0 in the third it looked over, but Muguruza serving at 40-15 found a double fault. Then she found an error. Then she found some more double faults. It took a while because Collins was still really choking, but she broke for 3-1. Muguruza really lost her game from 3-1 on, and only notched one more game. Her serve had been excellent throughout, and just disappeared. Her defending had been excellent, but she misjudged balls and found the net. It was a really confusing loss for Muguruza, but the secondary story was how well Collins was hitting the ball. She really crushed her backhand today, and stepped in on every moonball offering Muguruza served up. I would say she hit her forehand inside out less than 10 times in the match, but it was a decent strategy as it kept her in a rhythm.
So can she beat Jabeur? Collins looked a ball off on all her serves today, and actually all her aces in the match were called as lets. If she finds the rhythm, she can run away with this match, as her backhand is so solid and her proclivity for hugging the baseline will challenge Jabeur’s movement. Her issues will be the same here as against Muguruza; when she loses range she tends to play a few games where she hits the ball a few inches too deep, it’s almost as if she needs to remember to control her swing, as I saw her make a visible adjustment in the third where she wasn’t taking such a huge followthrough. This will be a good opportunity for both of them, and both have just beaten an opponent that says that they are genuine title contenders. The names are disappearing from this draw and the players left might not always get these opportunities, but their level of play says they deserve them. Collins in 3
Ferro Kenin : Fiona Ferro was so stressful to watch today. I felt she’d have control against Tig, and I was right but it didn’t translate to a simple victory. Tig is simply a divine defender, and her slices were touted by the announcers as ineffective but they kept Ferro from ever developing any rhythm. Tig wears her heart on her sleeve, and she looks like you stole her baby bunny after she loses points, and screams deafeningly loud after she wins points. It all was a bit distracting from the match, and as the crowd got into it she got a bit more frustrated. After taking a few years off the tour to have one of those babies, Tig really has to be pleased with her restart, and while she lost a lopsided 3rd set, she should have won the tiebreaker, and definitely was the better player in the 2nd set. Tig’s problem in this one was that Ferro seemed to play her best tennis once she was down. Whether it was a break or a break point, Ferro locked down her game when she needed to and although Tig comes up with a lot of great offense when it seemed like she’d never attempt any, she lacks power and is largely just a defensive grinder. The backhand broke down for Tig in the 3rd set, and it was a shame but a great win for Ferro.
Kenin and Bara was a fun match for Bara while she was up 2-0, but from there it was literally all Kenin. Do you think Kenin walks to the store or to walk her dog the same as she does around the court? She’s a legit marcher. She doesn’t seem like the best claycourter, but the round prior she found her range in one set, and in this one she really was excellent. Her backhand is just no place to direct the ball, and she’s begun playing a dropshot down the line off it that pairs so well with her crosscourt offering. Add in a forehand that isn’t huge but has a lot of whip on it, and you have a very difficult ask for Bara. In previous matches Bara’s speed and defending had exposed her opponents, but here since Kenin wasn’t making errors, Bara had difficult scoring points. Her serve left her after she got down in the scoreline, and it was one way traffic.
Ferro and Kenin is a match I expected Kenin to be priced higher in. Oddsmakers have set it as a pickem and while Ferro was great in the third set she really struggled to beat Tig and Kenin’s defense is a similar level but with more power. Stylistically, Kenin’s offense will be easier for Ferro to deal with than it was for Bara, as Ferro is adept at net and has a solid backhand and forehand. The power is there, and she’s very comfortable on clay, but she made a bit too many errors today against Tig for me to see her hitting through Kenin for an entire match. Playing at home though, and given how open her offense will be playing someone who isn’t using so many slices, she’ll be a tough test. Against Rybakina Ferro was excellent, and didn’t make the errors that she did when Tig slowed the game down. I am starting to think Kenin could have a good chance to make the finals though, as her next two matches are ones she should win. Kenin in 3.
Kvitova Zhang : Kvitova really played a great match today. Her stretch forehand created angles over and over, and once she did her backhand power through the court was just unreal reliable. Fernandez was everywhere, and led 5-2 in the first, but Kvitova wore her down, and it wasn’t just power but movement as well. Kvitova has shown up for this event, and pulling victory from a match where she was not on her favorite surface and down early is a very good sign. Zhang was solid today, but I really felt Burel would be a better test for Kvitova. Burel is just plain great. She plays like she’s never had a coach and just understands tennis. She serves well, executes any shot from anywhere when it’s right, and though she seems like a small Lauren Davis type she crushes the ball. It was a tough loss as she seemed throughout the match like she’s cross the finish line, but Zhang basically locked down on defense, and hitting through someone on clay for an entire match is just a tough tough thing to do. Sometimes you play better but lose the match, and that was Burel today.
Kvitova played a better defender in Fernandez, and one with more offense also. Zhang has been playing great, but plays in predictable crosscourt patterns and Kvitova’s power does tend to earn her balls to hit. Barring a similar slow start as she had against Fernandez, Kvitova in 2.
Siegemund Badosa : Siegemund turned around her match against Martic in excellent fashion. She always notches some wins on clay but knee injuries really have kept her from deep runs in the past two seasons. This though is a career changing moment for her. She can beat Badosa Gibert. I don’t say that just because she’s playing so well, but also because even on paper this isn’t an upset for Siegemund. Both are playing very consistent ball and thriving against offensive talents because of it. Ostapenko hit a lot of very angry shots, but every time she loses it’s because of her movement and because of her errors. It’s one plan and that’s ok but the tour is full of defensive tests and that plan isn’t likely to net her any further titles. Badosa is just 20 years old through to her first round of 16 which is brilliant. Someone is going to get their first huge paycheck this event and there isn’t a lot to separate these two. Siegemund has played a lot of offensive talents thus far, and seems to have thrived on moving them as the matches progress. She’s very coherent and measured, but Badosa’s speed may be a major factor in negating that. Badosa also won their most recent meeting on clay last year in a third set. A year’s progress for a junior player can mean a world of difference, and I think the edge sits with her here. Badosa in 3.
PS The requests for possibly more betting advice haven’t fallen on deaf ears. The problem with listing out picks is what I referenced earlier : pick services have an end goal in mind of telling you a defendable story. There is a great deal more than selecting a few matches a day that goes into the process, and unfortunately unless you’re placing the same wagers while livebetting that I am, you’re getting different lines and different results over time. A lot of my decisions tend to reflect my individual status/risk preferences as I go as well, so it’s difficult to just present a comprehensive mirror for people to look at. I’m not saying no though, and I’ve been thinking more about how best to present content that will help ppl avoid losses and traps on the tour, as well as proffer some of the lessons that I learned along the way so that at a minimum, people can save time and skip those hurdles. For the French I’m just going to stick with the writeups, but I’m working on it and will definitely do something next season, and will likely post some generic content/analysis of how the tour’s format/rankings/surface changes lend themselves to some decent spots. Cheers. People say that in Europe.
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